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Bookie Challenge WEEKLY REVIEW December 06, 2023 | Issue #14 | Week #13 |
YES! WE HAVE NO BANANAS! MAJORITY OF BOOKIE CHALLENGE FIELD HAS NOTHING TO OFFER IN A WEEK #13 THAT WAS FROUGHT WITH NINE BREAK-EVEN BEST-BET OUTINGS, NO PARLAY WINNERS |
Parts Unknown (DP--Disassociated Press): After the Bookie Challenge field had registered its best stretch of handicapping this season over the course of its last-six outings, of which it had produced winning best-bet records in four of those last six outings, this past weekend the field had one of those once-in-a-blue-moon showings that was void of any noteworthy high drama and suspense, or of any razzle-dazzle handicapping from any of its handicappers that would have dramatically affected any of the league's divisional races. The handicapping cessation manifested itself after only two handicappers, jcvike28 and catman23, both of whom are battling it out for the Hail Mary divisional title, each won their respective two best bets to end their respective weekends with two points apiece and finish up this past weekend as two of three handicappers who tallied respective 2-point outings. The third handicapper, Vikings17, joined the two aforementioned handicappers after he also produced a two-point outing over the past weekend, even though he culminated his weekend as one of nine overall handicappers who split their respective best bets. Vikings17 was able to notch his second point of the weekend after he connected on the 11th hour of this past Monday night's game with a 1-point exact-score hit, which came courtesy of the Jacksonville Jaguars' 34-31 overtime loss to the Cincinnati Bengals in which Vikings17 had correctly predicted the Jaguars to score exactly 31 points for the game. Two handicappers--moemonie and 7mick7--went against the grain and each had rough outings after they were the only handicappers to go scoreless over this past weekend, with moemonie registering a golden goose egg for his outing and 7mick7 recording a goose egg for his weekend. Consequently, because no handicapper connected on any parlay combos over this past weekend, the overall handicapping stalemate, of sorts, resulted in very little changes in the respective point standings of each divisional race. But that's not to say that this past weekend was totally devoid of any suspenseful handicapping theatrics that could have significantly affected the competition despite the overall lack of any major scoring outbursts, for a handful of handicappers had respective near-misses of parlay combinations that could have led to some meaningful outings. Nor did it mean that the little amount of points that were scored didn't have any impact whatsoever in any of the divisional races. On the contrary, several handicapping outcomes this past weekend had its stealthy subtleties that could have only been appreciated by a few in-the-know handicappers from the Challenge field who are fined-tuned with the league's tiebreakers and the importance of those tiebreakers. The major near-miss of a 6-point parlay hit this past weekend involved the game between Kansas City and Green Bay that was played this past Sunday night, of which jcvike28, the Biased Nihilist, and Blitzkrieg were all in line to wreak havoc within their respective divisional races if Kansas City (-6) would have covered over Green Bay. In the case of jcvike, a Chiefs' pointspread cover would have resulted in a PERFECTA outing that for all intents and purposes would have not only clinched the Hail Mary division over catman but also would have enabled him to tie Vikings17 for the league lead in total points (38 pts), of which jcvike would have technically taken the official overall lead of the competition over Vikings17 by virtue of the league's first tiebreaker (most best-bet wins--jcvike 14 wins vs Vikings17 13 wins). In the cases of Blitzkrieg and the Biased Nihilist, two handicappers involved in the Corozal divisional race, they needed to hit their respective 6-point parlay combos a lot more than jcvike needed to hit his because they had both entered this past weekend trailing Theopholis for the overall divisional lead of the Corozal division as can clearly be seen by the previous divisional point standings before the start of this past weekend: Theopholis 31 pts, Blitzkrieg 26 pts, and the Nihilist 23pts. Doing the math, a KC cover this past Sunday night would have resulted in Blitzkrieg overtaking Theopholis for the Corozal divisional lead by one point (33 pts vs 32 pts) and the Nihilist ending the weekend just two points behind Theo for the division's wild-card qualification (or for second place of the division). But much to the chagrins of jcvike, Blitzkrieg, and the Nihilist, the Packers came out of the gates of Sunday night's game firing on all cyclinders with its offense, thanks in large part to the nearly flawless play of their QB Jordan Love, who led the Packers to two impressive opening possessions of which each resulted in touchdowns. Without question, the Packers outright upset over the Chiefs turned Theo, a die-hard fan of both the Steelers and the NY Yankees, into an automatic member of GB's "Love Shack". To say the least, this past weekend Theo turned out to be the league's "luckiest man on the face of the earth." As has already been well documented before the start of this year's divisional races, Theopholis was predicted to be the second most likeliest divisional leader to lose his divisional race, and only catman's predicted odds to lose his Hail Mary divisional race were lower than Theo's. The Bookie Challenge pundits boldy predicted that there was no way Theo was going to stave off his two divisional counterparts, Blitzkrieg and the Biased Nihilist, for the entire duration of the 11 full outings of this year's Corozal divisional race, not when taking into account that Blitzkrieg and the Biased Nihilist are two of the league's most toughest and battle-tested handicappers. And yet, despite Blitzkrieg and the Nihilist putting all sorts of pressure on Theo, with both practically throwing everything but their kitchen sinks at Theo, somehow and someway--Theopholis has refused to budge, has refused to relinguish his divisional lead. What's truly surprising is that Theo, after halfway through this year's divisional races, is the ONLY divisional leader to emerge from this year's divisional seeding who has yet to be dislodged from the perch of his respective divisional lead. Some participants might have the urge to label Theo's rise to handicapping respectability in this year's competition as just a simple matter of being lucky, but that broad view is not going to cut the mustard, and mainly because luck can only carry a handicapper so far and it's not going to assist a handicapper on a consistent week-in-and-week-out basis. So with that in mind, one has to wonder what was the main catalyst that has transformed Theopholis' previously ho-hum handicapping into a newfound handicapping prowess, into a handicapping repertoire that is oozing with an unmistakable effectiveness and an undeniable resourcefulness. Whatever was the catalyst that has turned Theo into a new and improved handicapper, one thing is for certain this season--he has so far exhibited a mentally-tough and a bend-but-don't-break resiliency that has seen him rise to the occasion time and time again throughout the first three-quarters of this year's regular season. So much so that he has to be considered, especially when presently sporting a 5-point divisional lead, as a bona fide contender who has a serious shot at winning his respective divisional title and possibly the overall Bookie Challenge championship. Of course, this is the Bookie Challenge competition and nothing is ever guaranteed, so Theo had better keep fighting the good fight and not take anything for granted. Earlier in this main article of this weekly review it was hinted that just because a handicapper didn't hit a 6-point parlay that it didn't mean a lone point or two scored on a weekend couldn't have a bearing within a divisional race. On the contrary, every point counts! A participant never knows when one point could make a difference at the end of the regular season, whether a handicapper gets a better playoff qualification, or whether one point could turn out to be the crucial tiebreaker point that decides a divisional championship or even a regular season-season championship. One veteran handicapper this past weekend, one who already knows the importance of what a single point can potentially lead to, and a handicapper who turned out to be the only handicapper in the league who this past weekend changed to the better his divisional status within his respective divisional standings was dbucc. The Red Zone divisional race started this past weekend with rookie Hall-of-Fame City Kid shockingly leading the division by two points (32 pts vs 30 pts) over a suddenly slumping 7mick7 and by three points over third-place dbucc (33 pts vs 29 pts). Both the City Kid and dbucc each tallied one point apiece after both handicapper's broke even with their respective best bets. However, 7mick7 goose egged his outing, and as a consequence of his scoreless weekend, he ended the weekend in a 30-30 tie in total points with dbucc for second place in the Red Zone divisional point standings. But dbucc won the number-one tiebreaker edge over 7mick7, 13 best-bet wins vs 12 best-bet wins, and as a result he technically ended the weekend as the division's official wild card, at least for the time being. Regardless of the tiebreaker, both handicappers still finished their respective outings trailing HOF City Kid by three points for the divisional lead. And yet, after this past weekend's handicapping action ran its course, it was the league's "other" rookie--Vikings17--who stunningly still held the overall reins of the Bookie Challenge competition, and not only for the divisional lead of the Run-&-Shoot division but also for the lead to capture this year's regular-season championship. After this past weekend's handicapping action, the Purple People Eater increased his divisional lead over DawgPound by another point, to 38 points vs 30 points. Vikings17 and DawgPound broke even with their respective best bets to each gain a point for the weekend, but Vikings17 also won an extra point for the weekend after he connected on a 1-point exact-score hit on Monday night to ultimately outscore DawgPound over the weekend by a final tally of two points versus one point. Additionally, as it pertained to Vikings17's lead for this year's regular-season championship, the "extra point" he garnered because of his 1-point exact-score hit helped him maintain his 5-point edge over Hail Mary divisional leader jcvike, but at the same time the "extra point" enabled the Purple People Eater to increase his leads for the regular-season title over Red Zone divisional leader HOF City Kid to five points and over the Corozal divisional leader Theopholis to six points. Of course, when comparing Vikings17's present 8-point divisional lead in the Run-&-Shoot division to the three smaller leads he holds over the three other divisional leaders for the regular-season championship, it's quite evident that Vikings17's odds of winning a divisional crown are much greater than his odds are to win this year's regular-season championship. Nevertheless, Vikings17 has at least established a realistic blueprint to become the first rookie in the history of the competition to win an overall Bookie Challenge competition, but to increase his chances to do as much will be first and foremost contingent on him winning the regular-season championship, and that's mainly because he can enter the postseason with the best scoring adavantages over the rest of the Challenge field in the first-two rounds of the postseason if he indeed wins the regular-season championship. However, as a rookie handicapper, even he has to surely know that negotiating the remaining five weeks of the regular season to ultimately seize this year's regular-season crown is not going to be a cakewalk in the park, especially when considering that he presently owns just a five-point lead over jcvike28, who is a one-time Bookie Challenge champion and who has more experience handicapping the Challenge's postseasons. |
WEEKLY ODDS AND ENDS: THE HANDICAPPING HODGEPODGE |
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CHALLENGE FIELD: WEEKLY COMBINED STATS AND HAPPENINGS | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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WHO'S HOT AND WHO'S NOT |
WHO'S HOT: NOT APPLICABLE No handicapper this past weekend did anything spectacular to be tabbed as this week's WHO'S-HOT HANDICAPPER. |
WHO'S NOT: moemonie It's not often that the Moola Hawker plops down a golden goose egg as he did this past weekend. In fact, entering this year's competition moemonie was tied with the Biased Nihilist for the fewest golden goose eggs all-time among the active handicappers who qualify for all-time records. Both moemonie and the Biased Nihilist came into this season with only four all-time golden goose eggs, which is saying something when considering that both handicappers are two of the longest tenured handicappers in the competition (Nihilist 13 yrs, moemonie 11 yrs). Unfortunately for moemonie, after having hit two consecutive 7-point outings in weeks' #10 and #11 to get himself into serious contention for the Run-&-Shoot divisional title, he has since then only scored one point over the span of his last-three outings. Specifically, he laid a goose egg in the first leg of this year's Turkey Shoot, registered one point in the second leg of the holiday weekend, and then laid a golden goose egg this past weekend. No handicapper in the league has scored less points over the last-three outings than has the Moola Hawker (1 pt). As a consequence, and after Vikings17's scoring outburst in this year's Turkey Shoot, moemonie suddenly finds himself in third place in the Run-&-Shoot division. Granted, he presently trails second-place DawgPound by only three points (30-27), but he also trails divisional leader Vikings17 by a substantial 11-point margin (38 pts vs 27pts). That's a disheartening deficit when remembering that just three outings ago moemonie only trailed DawgPound by one point for the divisional lead. All in all, as it pertains to the Moola Hawker's recently inopportune handicapping slump, is it time for him to press the panic button? Maybe not, because as any well-read Bookie Challenge member already knows--anything and everything is subject to change in a mere weekend or two in a Challenge competition. With that in mind, after this past weekend, the competition just surpassed the halfway point of the overall 11-outings that comprise this year's divisional races, which means there still remains five weeks left to handicap in the regular season. And even though a lot can happen over the course of five weekends in a Bookie Challenge competition, the hard truth is that it's going to take at least two outings for moemonie to mathematically erase his present 11-point deficit to divisional leader Vikings17 before he can realistically take the divisional lead of the Run-&-Shoot division. But any type of a divisional comeback within the remaining five weeks of the regular season by moemonie will obviously be contingent on Vikings17 going into a handicapping slump, not to forget that moemonie must first climb over second-place DawgPound before he can start to deal with Vikings17. So yes, maybe it is time for the Moola Hawker to press that panic button and realize the pressing urgency at hand, for surely even he knows that Father Time is not currently his close friend, or at least he isn't for the "time" being. |
POINT STANDINGS (Thru week #13) | ||||||||||||||
COROZAL DIVISION | ||||||||||||||
Total Pts | Participant | Best Bet Record | Win % | Weeks Won | Exact Scores 5pt--------2pt- -------1pt |
Propositional Pts | 3pt Parlays | 6pt Parlays | Perfectas | Goose Eggs | Golden Goose-Eggs | Wins in Parlays | ||
32 pts | Theopholis | 15-12-0 | .556 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
27 pts | Blitzkrieg | 19-8-1 | .704 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 |
24 pts | B.Nihilist | 10-17-1 | .370 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
HAIL MARY DIVISION | ||||||||||||||
Total Pts | Participant | Best Bet Record | Win % | Weeks Won | Exact Scores 5pt--------2pt- -------1pt |
Propositional Pts | 3pt Parlays | 6pt Parlays | Perfectas | Goose Eggs | Golden Goose-Eggs | Wins in Parlays | ||
33 pts | jcvike28 | 14-12-0 | .538 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 21 |
27 pts | catman23 | 13-13-0 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 23 |
21 pts | Driveline | 11-17-0 | .393 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 23 |
RUN-&-SHOOT DIVISION | ||||||||||||||
Total Pts | Participant | Best Bet Record | Win % | Weeks Won | Exact Scores 5pt--------2pt- -------1pt |
Propositional Pts | 3pt Parlays | 6pt Parlays | Perfectas | Goose Eggs | Golden Goose-Eggs | Wins in Parlays | ||
38 pts | Vikings17 | 13-13-2 | .500 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
30 pts | DawgPound | 16-11-0 | .593 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 22 |
27 pts | moemonie | 11-16-1 | .407 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21 |
26 pts | TCU | 15-11-1 | .577 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
RED ZONE DIVISION | ||||||||||||||
Total Pts | Participant | Best Bet Record | Win % | Weeks Won | Exact Scores 5pt--------2pt- -------1pt |
Propositional Pts | 3pt Parlays | 6pt Parlays | Perfectas | Goose Eggs | Golden Goose-Eggs | Wins in Parlays | ||
33 pts | HOF City Kid | 12-15-1 | .444 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 23 |
30 pts | dbucc | 13-11-2 | .542 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 |
30 pts | 7mick7 | 12-14-2 | .462 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 26 |
22 pts | DIRTYBIRDS | 9-8-1 | .529 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
Statistics in BOLD denotes participant leads league in statistical category. | ||||||||||||||
All membership fees have been received. Total Latinum jackpot: $560. Splits of Latinum jackpot for 13th annual Bookie Challenge competition: 1st place $420 (BC Champion); 2nd place $100 (Runner up to BC Champion), 3rd place $40 (Regular Season Champion) |
CONSENSUS PICK (Week #13) | |
CONSENSUS: Dallas (-9)-L, Pittsburgh (-5½/-6)-L, Detroit (-4)-W | WK#13: 1-2-0 Win% .333 (YTD Thru Wk #13: 9-9-0 Win% .500) |
INDIVIDUAL PICKS (Week #13) (Note: Participants are listed in order in which they posted their picks. *Asterisk in WIP column denotes a 3-pt parlay attempt) |
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Participant | Best Bets | Parlay | Exact Scores | Propositional Picks | Results >>>>> | Total Pts | W-L-T | Week Won | Exact-Scores 5pt------2pt------1pt |
Propositional Pts | 3pt parlay | 6pt parlay | Perfecta | Goose Egg | Golden Goose-Egg | Wins in Parlay | ||
Theopholis | Pitts-5½-L Det-4-W |
SF/Phi-U49-L NYJ+3-L Car+6-W |
Dal 28-21 Jax 22-16 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
DawgPound | Sea+9-W Cle+3½-L |
KC-6-L Pitts-6-L SF-3-W |
Dal 26-23 Jax 23-13 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
dbucc | LAC-5½-W Pitts-5½-L |
Det-4-W Den+3-L Jax-9_L |
Dal 31-20 Jax 23-10 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
TCU | Dall-9-L SF-2½-W |
Mia/Was-O50-W LAC-6-L TB-6-L |
Dal 38-15 Jax 23-17 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
Blitzkrieg | Dall-9-L Det-4-W |
KC-6-L Ind-1-W KC/GB-O43-W |
Dal 27-20 Jax 27-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
moemonie | Dall-9-L Den+3½-L |
LAC-6-L NYJ+3-L Wash+10-L |
Dal 38-17 Jax 23-6 |
N/A | >>>>> | 0 pts | 0-2-0 | GGE | 0/3 | |||||||||
7mick7 | Dall-9-L TB-5½-L |
Phil+3-L SF/Phi-O49-W Pitts-6-L |
Dal 31-17 Jax 24-17 |
N/A | >>>>> | 0 pts | 0-2-0 | GE | 1/3 | |||||||||
Driveline | Dall-9-L Det-4-W |
Pitts-6-L Atl-3-W LAR-3-W |
Dal 34-13 Jax 27-17 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
Vikings17 | Dall-9-L Sea/Dal-O47½-W |
Pitts-6-L Jax-9-L Cle/LAR-O40-W |
Dal 34-20 Jax 31-17--W |
N/A | >>>>> | 2 pts | 1-1-0 | 1 | PP-1pt | 1/3 | ||||||||
B.Nihilist | Dall-9-L SF-2½-W |
Det-4-W LAR-3-W KC-6-L |
Dal 31-17 Jax 23-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
catman23 | LAC-5½-W Det-4-W |
Pitts-6-L LAR-3-W KC-6-L |
xs Jax 24-7 |
N/A | >>>>> | 2 pts | 2-0-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
jcvike28 | Det-4-W Ind-1-W |
SF-3-W LAR-3-W KC-6-L |
xs Jax 20-13 |
N/A | >>>>> | 2 pts | 2-0-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
HOF City Kid | TB-5½-L SF-2½-W |
Det-4-W TB-6-L SF-3-W |
xs Jax 27-13 |
N/A | >>>>> | pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3* | ||||||||||
DIRTYBIRDS | No Picks Posted |
FINALS | DALL 41 SEA 35 |
LAC 6 NE 0 |
DET 33 NO 28 |
ATL 13 NYJ 8 |
ARI 24 PITTS 10 |
IND 31 TENN 28 |
MIA 45 WASH 15 |
HOU 22 DEN 17 |
TB 21 CAR 18 |
SF 42 PHIL 19 |
LAR 36 CLE 19 |
GB 27 KC 19 |
CIN 34 JAX 31 |
PREVIOUS REVIEWS | Preseason Special | Wk #1 | Wk #2 | Wk #3 | Wk #4 | Wk #5 | Wk #6 | Wk #7 | Wk #8 | Wk #9 | Wk #10 | Wk #11 | Wk #12Thx |