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Bookie Challenge WEEKLY REVIEW October 23, 2024 | Issue #7 | Week #7 |
Parts Unknown (DP--Disassociated Press): Over many of the past Bookie Challenge seasons, and over the many weekly reviews penned within those seasons, it has been reiterated many times how each Bookie Challenge competition is unique in its own ways. No two Bookie Challenge seasons are ever the same, and this year's competition is no different. After handicapping week #7 of this year's competition, or the penultimate weekend before this year's divisional seeding takes place this upcoming weekend, the final showdown for this season's four top seeds at this year's divisional seeding promises to end with a bang. Or will it? One ting is for certain that's going to happen, seeing as moemonie is the only participant in this year's Bookie Challenge roster who has won two number-one overall top seeds in two different seasons in the history of the Bookie Challenge, it is guaranteed that a new participant will win an overall number-one top seed, and it's because moemonie has mathematically been eliminated form winning this year's prime top seed. What a damn shame it is, too, because this season, for the first time ever, a cash award of $50 from this year's Latinum jackpot is going to be doled out to this year's eventual winner of the overall number-one top seed. Right now, the top four handicappers who are occupying the present top-four slots of the current point standings are Blitzkrieg (#1 top seed/24pts), Driveline (#2 seed/21pts), 7mick7 (#3 seed/18pts, and DawgPound (#4 seed/16pts), and a few other handicappers beneath the aforementioned group are in the hunt mathematically to snatch a top seed in the standings: HOF City Kid (5th place/15 pts) and the Nihilist (6th place/15 pts). On the outer periphery to sneak into a top seed at this year's divisional seeding, but have tougher odds of making the elite group, are Vikings 17 and rookie Jets69, both of whom will need PERFECTA outings and a little help from exact-score points, of which as of the release of this weekly review will have only Monday night's exact-score left for a chance to add game-changing points before this year's divisional seeding is over with. It's no doubt that the point standings appear to be very tight when looking at the top tier of the standings--Blitzkrieg (24pts), Driveline (21pts), 7mick7 (18 pts), and DawgPound (16 pts). But, a closer look reveals the unmitigated truth, of which is that Blitzkrieg has the best path to winning this year's overall number-one seed or his first-ever number-one top seed. Hell, even if he goose eggs, the contestants that trail him in the standings are going to have to win at least three points or more this upcoming weekend to unseat the Snowman and his Falcon from the top perch of the Bookie Challenge point standings. The one handicapper who can ruin Blitzkrieg's parade this upcoming weekend is Driveline, who over the last four years before this season has turned into one of the league's most dexterous handicappers, one of whom is very capable of pulling off a much-needed miracle at this year's all-important divisional seeding round. Realistically, the upcoming battle for this year's number-one top seed can easily be predicted as one to be settled by Blitzkrieg and Driveline. But here's the rub, Blitzkrieg can seal his fate by hitting a third 6-point parlay winner, while Driveline can do the same by landing a 6-point parlay hit of his own and then hopes that Blitzkrieg doesn't produce a 6-point parlay winner. However, interestingly, both handicappers are the first this season to hit back-to-back 6-point parlay hits entering this week #8 showdown. In other words, for either handicapper to put away the other handicapper, it might have to take a third-straight parlay hit by either handicapper. That's not going to be easy to do, and Bookie Challenge history says as much, as in only one handicapper in the history of the competition has connected on three consecutive 6-point parlay winners, of whom was Theopholis. Sadly, Theo is no longer a member of the competition because of recent health issues. Amazingly, Theo set the all-time streak of three consecutive parlay hits back in Challenge year #2. In any case, Blitzkrieg knocked down his second consecutive 6-point parlay hit this past weekend, which marked the third time this season he has nailed down a 6-point parlay combination (wk #1 was his 1st parlay hit this year). What can be deemed as extraordinary feats in Bookie Challenge history is how both Blitzkrieg and Driveline have both notched back-to-back 6-point parlay hits throughout their respective Bookie Challenge careers, so it would be hard to write both of them off when it comes to the possibility of either one to hammer out a third 6-point parlay hit in a row, with Blitzkrieg repeating the phenomenal feat more times than Driveline has. To be specific, the last time the Snowman hit back-to-back 6-point outings was back in Challenge year #11, when he pulled off the tremendous feat twice that season (once in wks' #12 and #13 and once in wks #15 and #16). But that's not the half of it, for Blitzkrieg hit on back-to-back 6-point parlay winners in Challenge year #9 (wks #11 and #12), Challenge year #7 (wks' #7 and #8), and in Challenge year #6 (wks' #13 and #14). As it concerns Driveline, he nailed down the feat in last year's competition, in Challenge year #13, when he hit consecutive 6-point parlay hits in weeks' #15 and #16. Additionally, over the span of the last-two postseasons, the Fisher of Winners (aka Driveline), hit a round #2 6-point parlay winner and in round #3 of the same playoffs he connected on a 3-point parlay hit. Amazingly, Driveline pulled off the same stunt, in the same exact rounds of the postseason of Challenge year #12. So when given the aforementioned parlay hits of both Blitzkrieg and Driveline, one can easily see that this year's divisional seeding round promises to be off the charts. One last handicapper who nailed a 6-point parlay winner this past weekend (wk #7) was the Hall-of-Fame City kid, who only registered six points for his outing after he failed to connect on both of his best bets. Regardless, the 6-point outing enabled the HOF City Kid, who is now handicapping his sophomore season in the Bookie Challenge, to gain his 15th point on the season and tie the Biased Nihilist in the point standings. In an odd tidbit, this year's 6-point parlay hit was only the City Kid's second of his 2-year Challenge career. Coincidentally. his only 6-point parlay winner of his rookie season also resulted in a 6-point outing after he failed to connect on both of his best bets. But when comparing his rookie season to his sophomore season of this year's competition, the Hall-of-Fame City Kid is faring much better in this year's handicapping campaign than he had in his rookie season of last year's contest. In fact, it's almost unbelievable how different the City Kid's handicapping has been when compared to his greenhorn season. Specifically, after the first-seven weeks of this year's competition, the City Kid has only submitted 6-point parlay combinations, which was far from being the case in his rookie season. If one can imagine it, the Hall-of-Fame City Kid only attempted to connect on 6-point parlay hits on three separate weekends, of which were weeks' #1, #3, and #4 of last year's contest. Incredibly, from week #4 until the end of last year's regular season, of which was 16 straight weekends, the City Kid only attempted to hit 3-point parlay combinations, and when adding week #2 to the total, the City Kid attempted to knock down 3-point parlay combinations in 17 total outings. What turned out to be a strange twist of fate, was that the City Kid, who attempted to win 6-point parlay combinations in weeks' #1, #3, and #4 of last year's competition, hit his only parlay winner in week #3, of which he landed a 6-point parlay hit (his first ever parlay winner). Another interesting tidbit about the City Kid is that besides the two 6-point weekends in which he only connected on 6-point parlay hits, the most points the City Kid scored in a regular-season outing was the 14 points he accrued on Thanksgiving day of last year's Turkey Shoot weekend, of which was an outing that contained a boat load of propositional points. Regardless, the weekend was an electrifying outing for the Hall-of-Fame City Kid because he set an all-time rookie scoring record for a Thanksgiving Day outing, which was a whopping 14 points. To his credit, The City Kid is holding his own in this year's competition, and presently, he is a bona fide contender so far in this year's competition. Without question, the City Kid's season this year has been quite the turnaround, quite the story. Unfortunately for the City Kid, however, there is already one handicapper who is presently being coined as this season's feel-good story--and that would be Blitzkrieg's story. e |
WEEKLY ODDS AND ENDS: THE HANDICAPPING HODGEPODGE |
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CHALLENGE FIELD: WEEKLY COMBINED STATS AND HAPPENINGS | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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WHO'S HOT AND WHO'S NOT |
WHO'S HOT: Blitzkrieg In last week's "WHO'S HOT" handicapper segment of the weekly review, the main editor of the competition's weekly reviews, the Biased Nihilist, posted the following warning about his former brother-in-law, aka Blitzkrieg: "DO NOT TAKE BLITZKRIEG LIGHTLY" the Nihilist forewarned the rest of the Challenge field. And for what it is worth, nobody in the Bookie Challenge contest feels the pulse of the Bookie Challenge competition better than does the Biased Nihilist, for he loves the Bookie Challenge competition to no end and can tap into all the records and history of his beloved handicapping contest so that he can best bring the raw intricacies of the competition to the members of the Bookie Challenge on a weekly basis of a yearly competition. It is to that regard, or to that extent, that members who totally immerse themselves in the Bookie Challenge competition, are the prime beneficiaries of the most unique handicapping competition on the face of the planet. In any event, it is with a keen handicapping perspective that the Nihilist can amazingly prophesize which handicappers within the Bookie Challenge competition are deserving of serious accolades. Today, that handicapper is Blitzkrieg, even though Driveline, another handicapper who is presently on a red-hot streak, is also champing at the bit to threaten Blitzkrieg, upstage him at the last moment and seize this year's overall number-one top seed at this year's divisional seeding, which will take place this weekend after week #8's handicapping action goes into the books. All in all, Blitzkrieg is presently the odds on favorite to capture this year's overall number-one top seed, and it's mainly because he doesn't have to hit a third 6-point parlay winner in a row to do as much, as in he's the only handicapper within the Challenge field who can win this year's overall number-one top seed without having to land a parlay winner in the upcoming weekend, better known as the divisional-seeding weekend. |
WHO'S NOT: Realtalkrob, Nelbarada, & moemonie For the first time ever, the Bookie Challenge competition is featuring THREE WHO'S-NOT-HOT Handicappers to appear in this shameful segment of the weekly review. To begin with, two rookie handicappers are being selected this week for the weekly dishonor--Realtalkrob and Nelbarada. The two "lost" greenhorns are responsible for not posting their weekly set of picks for this past weekend (week #7), and in the case of Nelbrada--he'll have missed posting his weekly selection two out of the last three weekends (missed wks' #5 and #7). As often reiterated, missing a set of weekly selections never has a good ending, and is extremely detrimental to a handicapper's success in the Bookie Challenge competition. Only a few veteran handicappers can miss ONE week of a competition and can come out of a "no-show" weekend by still being a contender for an overall Bookie Challenge championship. However, those type of veteran handicappers are far and few in between, and only a handful of the league's top handicappers, such as Blitzkrieg, Driveline, the Biased Nihilist, to name a few, are capable of making up a missed set of weekly picks and still win divisional titles. And hey, Bookie Challenge history say as much. In fact, look no further than one of the league's top handicappers this season, a la Driveline, to get a perfect example of such a handicapper. Case in point, out of the five handicappers this season who have missed posting weekly sets of picks--Nelbarada (twice!), Realtalkrob, CAP_ATTACK, and Driveline--only Driveline, a two-time Bookie Challenge champion has rebounded this season from committing the competition's Cardinal Sin. He missed his set of weekly selections in week #5 of this year's competition, then he bounced back with an 8-point PERFECTA outing in week #6 and a 7-point outing over the course of last weekend (wk #7). At the present moment, despite missing a week of the competition, Driveline, with 24 overall points accrued this season, trails only first-place Blitzkrieg by just three points (24pts vs 21pts) heading into this year's divisional seeding that will be held at the end of this upcoming weekend. Obviously, none of the three rookies who have missed posting their respective weekly selections so far this season has hit a parlay winner, much less have a PERFECTA outing and be in shape to possibly come out of this year's divisional seeding at the head of a division to start this year's divisional races. In fact, after a handful of near-misses of parlay combinations, only one rookie--Jets69--has been able to connect on a 6-point parlay hit, so it should not come as a surprise that four of this year's five overall greenhorns are in the bottom tier of the current point standings: Kr@tos (13th place w/7pts), Realtalkrob (14th place w/6pts), Nelbarada (15th place w/5pts), and CAP_ATTACK (16th place w/4pts). As to Jets69, he's stuck in the middle tier of the point standings, in 8th place overall and with a decent 14 points tallied on the season, but he's not scaring any of the veterans of the competition, maybe earlier he was but definitely not anymore. Amazingly, however, Jets69 is handicapping this year's competition a little bit better than several veteran handicappers: Jets69 (8th place w/14pts), jcvike28 (9th place w/11pts), TCU (technically in 10th place w/8 pts), dbucc (technically 11th place w/8pts), and moemonie (technically in 12th place w/8pts). As can easily be seen, moemonie is having the roughest start to this year's competition when it comes to the rest of the Bookie Challenge veterans. The "Moola Hawker", as moemonie is popularly known by his Bookie Challenge moniker, almost made some unique Bookie Challenge history when two years ago, he narrowly missed becoming the first handicapper in Challenge history to win an overall number-one top seed at a divisional seeding and also a regular-season championship in the same season for the second time in his Challenge career. He pulled off the double whammy in Challenge year #10, however, he couldn't repeat the feat in Challenge year #12 after winning that year's overall number-one top seed at that year's divisional seeding but failed to capture that year's regular-season championship. Nominally, moemonie can hit 6-point parlays with the league's best handicappers who hit 6-point parlay winners, of whom he is second all-time to only the Biased Nihilist for hitting the most 6-point parlay winners in the history of the competition. But this season, moemonie hasn't been able to connect on any 6-point parlay winners, much less bang out a PERFECTA outing. Instead, moemonie has been cranking out goose-egg outings at a blistering pace. In fact, moemonie's handicapping has been so dreadful over the span of the last three weekends that he hasn't been able to chalk up one measly best-bet winner. What's more, the only reason he is not tied with rookie CAP_ATTACK for the most goose-egg outings this season, which is three scoreless outings, is that the Moola Hawker would have laid three scoreless outings in a row if not for being spared the ignominious humiliation in week #6, when he would have plopped down a golden goose egg if not for lucking out and predicting that weekend's exact score of the Monday night game between the Bills and Jets. Incredibly, he picked a final of 23-20 but didn't have the winning team of the exact final, so he had to settle for a 2-point exact-score hit. Otherwise, if not for the Godsent exact-score hit, moemonie would be heading into the divisional seeding this upcoming weekend with three-straight scoreless outings. |
POINT STANDINGS (Thru Week #7) | ||||||||||||||
Total Pts | Participant | Best Bet Record | Win % | Weeks Won | Exact Scores | Propositional Pts | 3pt Parlays | 6pt Parlays | Perfectas | Goose Eggs | Golden Goose-Eggs | Wins in Parlays | ||
24 Pts | Blitzkrieg* | 5-9-0 | .357 | 0 | 5pts-0 | 2pts-0 | 1pt-(x1) | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 |
21 Pts | Driveline* | 8-4-0 | .667 | 0 | 5pts-0 | 2pts-0 | 1pt(x1) | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
18 Pts | 7mick7* | 10-4-0 | .714 | 0 | 5pts-0 | 2pts-0 | 1pt(x2) | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
16 Pts | DawgPound | 7-6-0 | .538 | 1 | 5pts-0 | 2pts-0 | 1pt(x3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
15 Pts | HOF City Kid | 9-5-0 | .643 | 0 | 5pts-0 | 2pts-0 | 1pt-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
15 Pts | B.Nihilist* | 8-6-0 | .571 | 1 | 5pts-0 | 2pts-0 | 1pt(x1) | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
14 Pts | Vikings17* | 7-7-0 | .500 | 1 | 5pts(x1) | 2pt-(x1) | 1pt-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
14 Pts | Jets69* | 5-9-0 | .357 | 1 | 5pts-0 | 2pts-0 | 1pt(x3) | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
11 Pts | jcvike28 | 10-4-0 | .714 | 0 | 5pts-0 | 2pts-0 | 1pt(x1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 |
8 Pts | TCU* | 7-7-0 | .500 | 0 | 5pts-0 | 2pts-0 | 1pt-(x1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
8 Pts | dbucc* | 6-8-0 | .429 | 0 | 5pts-0 | 2pts-0 | 1pt(x2) | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
8 Pts | moemonie | 5-8-0 | .385 | 0 | 5pts-0 | 2pt-(x1) | 1pt-(x1) | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
7 Pts | Kr@tos* | 7-7-0 | .500 | 0 | 5pts-0 | 2pts-0 | 1pt-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
6 Pts | Realtalkrob | 6-6-0 | .500 | 0 | 5pts-0 | 2pts-0 | 1pt-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
5 Pts | Nelbarada* | 4-6-0 | .400 | 0 | 5pts-0 | 2pts-0 | 1pt(x1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
4 Pts | CAP_ATTACK* | 3-7-1 | .300 | 0 | 5pts-0 | 2pts-0 | 1pt-(x1) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
Statistics in BOLD denotes participant leads league in statistical category. | ||||||||||||||
*Asterisk next to participant's name denotes participant's Latinum has been received. Total projected jackpot: 720 bars (Current jackpot: 450 bars). Projected split of jackpot: 1st place at end of playoffs 450 bars, 2nd place at end of playoffs 120 bars, 3rd place prize Regular season champion 100 bars, and 4th place prize overall Top Seed from divisional seeding (Wk#8) 50 bars. |
INDIVIDUAL PICKS (Week #7) (Note: Participants are listed in order in which they posted their picks) |
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Participant | Best Bets | Parlay | Exact Scores | Propositional Picks | Results >>>>> | Total Pts | W-L-T | Week Won | Exact-Scores 5pt------2pt------1pt |
Propositional Pts | 3pt parlay | 6pt parlay | Perfecta | Goose Egg | Golden Goose-Egg | Wins in Parlay | ||
CAP_ATTACK | Wash-8-W Buff-9½-W |
Sea+3-W LAC-3-L Det/Min-O51-W |
DEN 28-17 xs |
N/A | >>>>> | 2 pts | 2-0-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
Driveline | GB-2½-L Balt-2½-W |
Ind-3-W Pitts-2-W Det+2-W |
Den 20-13 LAC 27-24 |
N/A | >>>>> | 7 pts | 1-1-0 | 6pt | W-3/3 | |||||||||
Blitzkrieg | LAR-6½-L LAC-2½-L |
Ind-3-W Cin-6-W Pitts-2-W |
NO 24-20 LAC 28-17--W1pt |
N/A | >>>>> | 7 pts | 0-2-0 | 1pt | PP-1pt | 6pt | W-3/3 | |||||||
7mick7 | Jax--5½-W Det/Min-O50½-W |
Ten/Buf-O41-W GB-3-L Balt-3-W |
Den 23-20 LAC 27-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 2 pts | 2-0-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
B.Nihilist | Balt-2½-W LAC-2½-L |
Minn-2-L Phil-3-W KC+2-W |
Den 20-17 LAC 27-17--W1pt |
N/A | >>>>> | 2 pts | 1-1-0 | 1pt | PP-1pt | 2/3 | ||||||||
Jets69 | NYJ+2-L Cin-6-W |
LAR-7-L Wash-8-W GB-3-L |
NO 24-21 LAC 21-17--W1pt |
N/A | >>>>> | 2 pts | 1-1-0 | 1pt | PP-1pt | 1/3 | ||||||||
HOF City Kid | SF-1½-L Mia+3-L |
Phil-3-W Det+2-W Hou+3-W |
NO 20-17 Ari 23-17 |
N/A | >>>>> | 6 pts | 0-2-0 | 6pt | W-3/3 | |||||||||
jcvike28 | LAC-2½-L LAR-6½-L |
Hou+3-W SF-2-L Balt-3-W |
Den 24-13 LAC 24-17--W1pt |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 0-2-0 | 1pt | PP-1pt | 2/3 | ||||||||
Kr@tos | Minn-1½-L Atl-3-L |
GB-3-L KC+2-W NYJ+2-L |
Den 24-21 Ari 27-17 |
N/A | >>>>> | 0 pts | 0-2-0 | GE | 1/3 | |||||||||
Vikings17 | NE/Jax-O41½-W NYJ+2-L |
Hou/GB-O48-L LAC/Ari-O44-L Wash-8-W |
Den 23-17 LAC 27-24 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
TCU | Wash-8-W Minn-1½-L |
NYJ/Pit-O38-W Phi/NYG-O43-L Blt/TB-O50-W |
Den 20-17 LAC 23-14 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
moemonie | NO+3-L Cle+6-L |
Jax-6-W LAR-7-L Balt-3-W |
NO 23-16 Ari 24-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 0 pts | 0-2-0 | GE | 2/3 | |||||||||
DawgPound | Den/NO-O37-W LAC/Ari-O43½-L |
Pitts-2-W Wash-8-W Atl-3-L |
NO 24-20 LAC 26-23 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
dbucc | Ten/Buf-O41-W Det/Min-U50½-L |
Buff-10-W Wash-8-W LAC-3-L |
xs LAC 24-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
Nelbarada | No Picks Posted | |||||||||||||||||
Realtalkrob | No Picks Posted |
FINALS | DEN 33 NO 10 |
JAX 32 NE 16 |
SEA 34 ATL 14 |
BUFF 34 TENN 10 |
CIN 21 CLE 14 |
GB 24 HOU 22 |
IND 16 MIA 10 |
DET 31 MINN 29 |
PHIL 28 NYG 3 |
LAR 20 LV 15 |
WASH 40 CAR 7 |
KC 28 SF 18 |
PITTS 37 NYJ 15 |
BALT 41 TB 31 |
ARI 17 LAC 15 |
PREVIOUS REVIEWS | WK#1 | WK#2 | WK#3 | WK#4 | WK#5 | WK#6 |