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Bookie Challenge
WEEKLY REVIEW

October 2, 2025 | Issue #5 | Week #4

Parts Unknown (DP--Disassociated Press): A week ago, in week #3 of this year's competition, the Challenge field had produced its best competitive outing of the season, of which was highlighted by the Biased Nihilist holding off Blitzkrieg's Monday night push to snatch a "week-won" away from the self-proclaimed "Greatest Handicapper of All Time". But this past weekend the competition's high drama was ratcheted to higher level of riveting suspense, of which was an excitement that had a familiar feel from the previous weekend's handicapping hijinks. This time around, however, it just wasn't Blitzkrieg challenging the Nihilist for the credit of a week-won, but several handicappers joined in to push the Nihilist to the brink. Included in the group of handicappers hassling the Nihilist was Vikings17, who started last weekend's high-stakes outing by connecting on last Thursday night's opener for week #4 with yet another 5-point exact-score hit, which was his second 5-point exact-score winner of the season. The incredible exact-score winner by Vikings17 set the pace for the rest of the weekend's nail-biting handicapping action. But to best put this past weekend's thrilling outing in its proper perspective, a brief recap of the previous weekend, week #3, is needed.

In week #3, the Nihilist had delivered the first 6-point parlay winner in this year's competition, and in the process he surpassed Vikings17 by five points (13pts vs 8pts) for first place in the point standings. Additionally, by winning his second consecutive "week-won" the Nihilist had tied the all-time record for the most consecutive weeks-won, which was just two weeks in a row and an all-time record that was being shared by six handicappers (Vikings17, Driveline, Blitzkrieg, CarolinaNYD, rexkramer, and LtFrankDrebben). The fact that six handicappers (now 7 handicappers) are deadlocked all-time with two-straight weeks-won apiece is a testament to the difficulty of notching consecutive weeks-won in the Bookie Challenge competition. So entering this past weekend the Nihilist had a shot to set a new all-time record should he win this past weekend outright for the third time in a row. Well, as already mentioned, Vikings17 miraculously hit his second 5-point exact-score of the season to put the Nihilist in a quick 5-point hole to start the past weekend. In other words, it would take the Nihilist to nail a second consecutive 6-point parlay hit to overcome Vikings17's early 5-point advantage for the weekend.

The Corozal Kid (aka the Nihilist) had a horrible start to his weekend early this past Sunday morning after losig the Ireland" game (he took Minnesota-1½ over the Steelers). Worse yet, he lost his second best bet in the second slate of Sunday's games after the LA Chargers failed to cover the spread (-6½) against the NY Giants, so for the Nihilist to pull out the weekend--he would have to connect on a second-consecutive 6-point parlay, of which his 3-team selection consisted of Detroit -10 over Cleveland (early slate of Sunday's game), the LA Rams -3 over Indianapolis (2nd slate of Sunday's games), and Dallas (+7) versus Green Bay (Sunday night game). Luckily for the Nihilist, Vikings17 also lost both of his best bets after Sunday, but the Purple People Eater still had his 6-point parlay combination still alive heading into Monday night's second game between Cincinnati and Denver. All Vikings17 needed to win the weekend outright and foil the bid for the Nihilist's shot at a new all-time record was for the game between the Bengals and Broncos to go over 44 total points. In addition, Vikings17 could have also reclaimed his lead atop of the competition's point standings over the Nihilist if the Bengals/Broncos game did go over the total. Meanwhile, as it pertained to Monday night's game between the Bengals and Broncos, Blitzkrieg was once again "in the thick of things", as in he was also in the running to possibly win the week outright. In his case, all he needed was for the Bengals (+7) to cover the spread versus the Broncos. For Blitzkrieg, it was the second week in a row in which he had an opportunity to possibly hit a 6-point parlay on a Monday night game and make some serious headway in this year's competition. In fact, things were so close heading into this past weekend's second Monday night game between the Bengals and Browns that an exact-score selection could have easily come into play and determined whom among the Nihilist, Vikings17. and Blitzkrieg would win this past weekend outright.

After Monday night's late game became a final, after the Broncos shut down the Bengals 28-3, after the game's total stayed under 44 and ruined Vikings17's parlay hit, after the Bengals were soundly defeated and Blitzkrieg's parlay combination got destroyed, it was the Biased Nihilist who came out smelling like a rose. It was the Biased Nihilist, through some spectacular handicapping and a indefatigable pertinacity, who won the day. More to the point, the Corozal Kid slightly increased his lead over second-place Vikings17 to six points in the Bookie Challenge's point standings (19pts vs 13pts). Beyond impressive is that the Nihilist set a new single-season all-time record for the most consecutive weeks won (3 in a row), of which is an all-time mark that may never be broken. But that's not the only all-time record the Nihilist presently has in mind to try and take down. After knocking down his second 6-point parlay in a row this past weekend, the Nihilist is now chasing another all-time record that has so far stood the test of time, of which the all-time record is owned by Theopholis--yes, Theopholis of all participants. Specifically, Theo owns the all-time record for the most consecutive 6-point parlay hits won, which is presently three consecutive parlay winners that he set back in Challenge year #5, his sophomore season. Back then, Theo hit a 7-point outing in week #4, a PERFECTA outing in week #5, and another 7-point outing in week #6. To say the least, it's an all-time record that many participants have tried and failed to tie, never mind any of them coming anywhere close to breaking the all-time mark.

This past weekend marked the halfway point to this year's divisional seeding, which will take place immediately after the conclusion of week #8. As it stands at the present moment, it's obvious that the Biased Nihilist has so far been the rockstar of this year's Bookie Challenge competition. Heck, the way he's stampeding the all-time record books, it's not a stretch to see him possibly breaking H.E. Pennypacker's all-time record for the most points accrued at a divisional seeding, of which the tally is 30 overall points that he achieved back in Challenge year #8. To be certain, with four more outings left before this year's divisional seeding, it's not out of the realms of possibility that the Nihilist can't muster 13 more points before this year's divisional seeding takes place. Regardless, the most pressing matter for the Nihilist is to win this year's overall number-one top seed, of which is something the Biased Nihilist has yet to accomplish. Unfortunately for the rest of the league, the next couple of upcoming weekends will be critical for most of the participants within the Challenge field not named the Biased Nihilist. With the exception of Vikings17, who presently trails the Nihilist by six points in the standings, everybody else is trailing the Nihilist by double digits, which is a tremendous problem if any of them are planning to overtake the Corozal Kid in the competition's point standings. Still, though, if a handicapper can snag one of the four top seeds at this year's divisional seeding, he will at least get to start this year's divisional races as one of the league's divisional leaders, which is a big deal. Speaking of which, as it concerns the four participants who presently occupy one of the four top seeds in the current point standings, the pecking order goes as follows: #1 top seed--The Biased Nihilist (19pts), #2 top seed--Vikings17 (13pts), #3 top seed--dbucc (8pts), and Matty_Ice (tied with Driveline and Kr@tos at 7 pts apiece but wins tiebreakers because of more best-bet wins).


WEEKLY ODDS AND ENDS: THE HANDICAPPING HODGEPODGE

  • SO WHAT'S BEHIND THE SKYROCKETING SURGE OF EXACT-SCORE POINTS? When analyzing the statistics associated with exact-score predictions, the reason for the exponential increase in the scoring of exact-score picks is hard to pinpoint, Granted, the sample size is a small one, for the newly incorporated format for exact-score selections was just implemented two years ago, in Challenge year #13. What's more, the number of participants have practically been the same. For example, in year #13 there were 14 members in the competition, in year #14 there were 16 participants, and in this year's competition there are 15 members, so what's the huge discrepancy in the scoring of exact-score selections? When breaking down the scoring of exact-score picks ever since year #13, what follows are some perplexing stats. After the first four weeks of year #13, only nine exact-score points were recorded. Howver, in year #14, with the same scoring format for exact-score selections still in place, the field accrued 14 points after the first four weeks of the aforementioned season. Then came this year's explosion, as in 36 overall exact-score points have been racked up after the first four weeks of this year's competition. A handful of the league's handicappers have benefitted tremendously by superbly connecting on exact-score predictions. Of course, at the head of the list is Vikings17, who has shown an otherworldly propensity for blasting out 5-point exact-score predictions, meaning he's predicted the exact scores of both teams involved in a game, and more astonishing is that he's done it on five different occasions, three times in last year's competition and twice already in this year's competition. It's said that Vikings17 is the luckiest participant in the competition. But when taking a deeper look at his winning selections, an uncanny strategy emerges. To begin with, Vikings17 seldom picks odd numbers within his predictions, such as he stays away from selecting scores such as 25-18, or 19-15, or 25-24, just to name a few. Instead, he sticks with probable scoring outcomes, such as 27-24 or 27-17, or scores that are usually in basic final scores. Consider the following, one thing that you won't catch Vikings17 is positing the same exact-score prediction all the time. Back in the day, the Bookie Challenge had a participant that went by xjoeyx, and with the exception of a very few times, he always predicted an exact-score of 31-27. It didn't matter if two strong defenses were involved in an exact-score game, Joey just kept at it--31-27, 31-27, almost always 31-27. Oh, and he never did connect on the exact-score final of 31-27. Another handicapper who is flashing a big-time flair for connecting on exact-score predictions is dbucc, aka the Joker. Don't look now, but half of dbucc's present eight-point total on the season have come the way of exact-score points. In fact, dbucc has connected on a 1-point exact-score selection on every week of this season, with his streak presently at four weeks in a row. And if anybody is wondering what's the all-time record for the most consecutive weeks of scoring on exact-score selection just know that the record is five weeks in a row, which was set by TCU in last year's competition (wks' #8 thru wk #12).


  • WEEKLY TICKER..................This past weekend Blitzkrieg and Vikings17 weren't the only ones who barely lost parlay hits and could have ruined the Biased Nihilist's record-setting third week-won. All of the following handicappers just missed connecting on 6-point parlay winners because one of their parlay picks lost within their respective parlay combinations: Jets69 (lost LAC -7), TCU (lost LAC/NYG-O44), Matty_Ice (lost GB/Dall-U48), 7mick7 (Lost SF-3), Driveline (lost SF-3) and Theopholis (lost GB-7)..................The league had its first winning weekend as it pertained to its combined over/under selections. The field went an overall 8-3-0 with its over/under picks for an impressive .727 winning percentage. However, the field has struggled mightly with its over/under selections after four weeks of this year's competition: 17-28-0 (win% .378)...................After this year's two rookies--Matty_Ice and Kennypie--each connected on their first-ever exact-score selections, it has left only 2nd-year veteran Kr@tos as the competition's only active handicapper who has never nailed an exact-score pick.........


CHALLENGE FIELD: WEEKLY COMBINED STATS AND HAPPENINGS
WEEKLY RESULTS (Thru Week #4)
Week/YTD Best Bet Record Win % Total Pts Exact-Scores

5pt-------2pt---------1pt
Propositional Pts 3pt Parlays 6pt Parlays Perfectas Goose Eggs Golden Goose Eggs Wins Within Parlay Consensus Picks
Week #4 9-21-0 .300 27 x1 x1 x5 12 0 1 0 4 1 23 consensus 0-1-0
W% .000
YTD 53-61-2 .465 101 x2 x2 x18 32 1 2 0 9 1 72 consensus 2-3-0
W% .400
Single-Season
Records
504-414-33
(Yr#5)
.549 (Yr#5) 1087 (Yr#8) x4
(Yrs #8
& #6)
x2
Yr#14
X44
(Yr#14)
241
(Yr#9)
9
(Yr#7)
56 (Yr#8) 19
(Yr#8)
92 (Yr#8) 23 (Yr#4) 631 (Yr#8) 16-8-2
W%.667 (Yr#4)

  • CHALLENGE FIELD REVERTS BACK TO MISERABLE HANDICAPPING IN WEEK #4 AFTER HAVING HAD DECENT OUTING IN WEEK #3: This year's Challenge field imploded this past weekend, and it was an implosion of epic proportions. The field yielded a dispiriting best-bet tally of 9-21-0 for a measly .300 win percentage of its best bets. The disgraceful outing mirrored the frustrations of almost evrry handicapper in this year's competition with the exceptions of the Biased Nihilist and Vikings17. The horrific best-bet outing ranked as the competition's 6th worst best-bet outing in the history the Bookie Challenge competition. The previous five worst outings ranked as follows: ranked #1) 4-19-0 (win% .174); ranked #2) 8-26-0 (W% .235); ranked #3) 8-24-0 (W% .250); ranked #4) 9-25-0 (W% .265); and ranked #5) 12-32-2 (W% .273). Of note, the field had posted a best-bet record in the previous weekend of 20-10-0 (win% 667), and in the process the field was above .500 with its yearly best bets (44-40-2/W% .523 thru week #3). However, after this past weekend's monumental fall from grace, the field is presently in a bad way with its combined best bets for the season as is evident by its best-bet tally of 53-61-2 (.465) for this competition. Just as bad were the five scoreless outings the field produced, which included four goose eggs and the first golden goose egg of the year (Thanks to Kr@tos missing every pick he made for the weekend).


WHO'S HOT AND WHO'S NOT
WHO'S HOT: Biased Nihilist

Previous to the start of this past weekend, the Biased Nihilist was wondering if he had automatically been put on a pedestal, especially after he read two comments on the competition's message. One was from Vikings17: "The higher up one puts himself the more it hurts when u fall. Lets just see lol." While the other one was penned by rookie Kennypie86: "The higher up you [put] yourself, the more it hurts when you fall. Keep boasting my friend. I'm your humble last place guy coming for the throne. After all, I am a rookie here, i'm sure you have heard about rookies luck? lol" At the time the two messages were posted, the Nihilist just took the combined smack talking with a grain of salt and went about his usual business, which was handicapping the weekend. But now that this past weekend's handicapping action has ran its course, the Nihilist would like to respond to the smack talk: "I hope you two rat bastards can hear me from way down there, but just know that it's nice and sunny up here, which is usually the case when you're on top of the world." And why shouldn't the Biased Nihilist sing his own praises? After all, he's in a league of his own, and if the truth be told, he's carry the league, seeing as he's the only one doing anything worth the damn in this year's competition. Case in point, after producing his second 6-point parlay hit in a row this past weekend, the Nihilist is far and way the undisputed King of the Parlay Hits after running up his league-leading all-time 6-point parlay winners to a phenomenal 43 overall parlay winners (regular season and postseason combined). Two handicappers who are no longer active members of the competition tried to keep pace with the Nihilist, with Tony Soprano having compiled 35 all-time 6-point parlay hits and moemonie having amassed 30 all-time 6-point parlay winners. However, since their departures, the closest active handicappers to the Nihilist's 43 overall 6-point parlay hits are three handicappers presently tied with 26 6-point parlay winners apiece--7mick7, jcvike28, and Blitzkrieg. For the Nihilist, this season has so far been a stellar season and if he keeps it up, more all-time records are liable to be broken or new ones made. Either way, the Nihilist is basking in the limelight and soaking up all the glory. Oh yes, and without a shadow of a doubt, he's thoroughly enjoying the scenery at the top of the competition.

WHO'S NOT: Kennypie86

The rookie Kennypie was walking down the beach this past weekend and he took a picture of a seashell formation that read as follows: "Kenny is going to 86 the Challenge field". Go ahead and laugh everybody, because it would be even funnier if it weren't so sad. To put it differently, Kennypie86 doesn't know what the hell is going on in the Bookie Challenge competition. Put simply, the ken Doll can't pick winners, can't follow rules, and can't get out of the Bookie Challenge's dungeon. His horrible handicapping has been a montage of handicapping futility. In his rookie opener back in week #1, he didn't post his main set of weekly picks because he was tailgating at the Buccaneers home opener and was in no shape to make his picks, so he got slapped with a goose-egg weekend. In week #2, he laid a second-consecutive goose egg. In week #3, he finally eked out a point but still ended his weekend in dead-last place in the Bookie Challenge's point standings. And finally, in week #4, or this past weekend, he submitted his parlay combination after one of the games within his parlay combo had already started (Minnesota vs Pittsburgh), so he had his parlay combo disqualified. Making matters worse, he lost both of his best bets and was facing a another goose-egg outing, but was spared the humiliation after he connected on a 1-point exact-score hit on this past Monday night (correctly picked Denver to score 28 pts). But if there's a silver lining to his handicapping cloud of despair, it is that things can't possibly can't get any worse, or that there's no place to go but up, and blah-blah-blah.


POINT STANDINGS (Thru Week #4)
Total Pts Participant Best Bet Record Win % Weeks Won Exact Scores Propositional Pts 3pt Parlays 6pt Parlays Perfectas Goose Eggs Golden Goose-Eggs Wins in Parlays
19 pts B.Nihilist* 4-4-0 .500 3 0 0 1pt(x3) 3 0 2 0 0 0 9
13 pts Vikings17* 2-6-0 ..250 1 5pt(x2) 0 1pt(x1) 11 0 0 0 0 0 4
8 pts dbucc 4-4-0 .500 0 0 0 1pt(x4) 4 0 0 0 0 0 5
7 pts Matty_Ice* 5-3-0 .625 0 0 2pt(x1) 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 3
7 pts Driveline* 4-4-0 .500 0 0 2pt(x1) 1pt(x1) 3 0 0 0 1 0 6
7 pts Kr@tos 4-3-1 .571 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 4
6 pts DawgPound 6-2-0 .750 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
6 pts Blitzkrieg 5-3-0 .625 0 0 0 1pt(x1) 1 0 0 0 0 0 7
6 pts Theopholis 4-2-0 .667 0 0 0 1pt(x2) 2 0 0 0 0 0 3
5 pts Jets69 4-4-0 .500 0 0 0 1pt(x1) 1 0 0 0 2 0 6
5 pts TCU* 4-3-1 .571 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 3
4 pts jcvike28 2-6-0 .250 0 0 0 1pt(x2) 2 0 0 0 1 0 4
3 pts HOFCityKid 3-5-0 .375 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 4
3 pts 7mick7* 2-6-0 .250 0 0 0 1pt(x1) 1 0 0 0 1 0 5
2 pts Kennypie86* 1-5-0 .167 0 0 0 1pt(x1) 1 0 0 0 2 0 2
Statistics in BOLD denotes participant leads league in statistical category.
Asterisk next to participant's name denotes his membership fees have been received. Total projected jackpot: $750 (Current jackpot: $350). Projected split of jackpot: 1st place at end of playoffs $500, 2nd place at end of playoffs $100, 3rd place prize Regular season champion $100, and 4th place prize overall Top Seed from divisional seeding (Wk#8) $50.

INDIVIDUAL PICKS (NFL WEEK #4)
(Note: Participants are listed in order in which they posted their picks)
Participant Best Bets Parlay Exact Scores Propositional Picks Results >>>>> Total Pts W-L-T Week Won Exact-Scores

5pt------2pt------1pt
Propositional Pts 3pt parlay 6pt parlay Perfecta Goose Egg Golden Goose-Egg Wins in Parlay
Jets69 Minn-1½-L
GB-6½-L
LAR-3-W
LAC-7-L
Phil-3-W
Sea 27-21

Den 27-21
N/A >>>>> 0 pts 0-2-0 GE 2/3
dbucc Sea-1½-W
Phil-3½-W
Det-10-W
Buff-16-L
GB-7-L
Sea 27-20--W

Den 20-19
N/A >>>>> 3 pts 2-0-0 1pt PP-1pt 1/3
TCU Den-7½-W
Balt-2½-L
LAC/NYG-O44-L
Chi/LV-O48-W
Cle/Det-U45-W
Sea 21-20--W

Den 30-17
N/A >>>>> 2 pts 1-1-0 1pt PP-1pt 2/3
jcvike28 Balt-2½-L
GB-6½-L
Min-2-L
Atl+1-W
Cin+7-L
Sea 24-20--W

Den 24-20
N/A >>>>> 1 pts 0-2-0 1pt PP-1pt 1/3
Matty_Ice LAC/NYG-O44-L
Atl+1-W
Chi+1-W
Blt/KC-O49-W
GB/Dal-U48-L
Ari 23-20--W

Cin 19-14
N/A >>>>> 3 pts 1-1-0 2pt PP-2pts 2/3
Kr@tos Ind+3-L
GB-6½-L
Minn-2-L
LAC-7-L
Balt-3-L
Sea 31-24

Den 24-21
N/A >>>>> 0 pts 0-2-0 GGE 0/3
7mick7 Minn-1½-L
Det-10-W
Det-10-W
SF-3-L
LAR-3-W
Ari 22-20

Den 27-20
N/A >>>>> 1 pts 1-1-0 2/3*
Vikings17 LAC-6½-L
GB-6½-L
Car/NE-O43-W
Chi/LV-O48-W
Cin/Den-O44-L
Sea 23-20--W

Den 34-20
N/A >>>>> 5 pts 0-2-0 5pt PP-5pts 2/3
B.Nihilist Minn-1½-L
LAC-6½-L
Det-10-W
LAR-3-W
Dall+7-W
Sea 27-17

Den 27-17
N/A >>>>> 6 pts 0-2-0 WW 6pt W-3/3
Kennypie86 Balt-2½-L
TB-3½-L
Min-2-DQ
Atl+1-DQ
Cin+7-DQ
Sea 28-24

Den 28-17--W
N/A >>>>> pts 0-2-0 1pt PP-1pt DQ'd
DawgPound Hou-7-W
Phil-3½-W
Balt-3-L
Cle+10-L
Den-7-W
NoPick

Blt 27-24
N/A >>>>> 2 pts 2-0-0 1/3
Driveline Balt-2½-L
Minn-1½-L
Atl+1-W
SF-3-L
LAR-3-W
NoPick

Den 27-17
N/A >>>>> 0 pts 0-2-0 GE 2/3
Blitzkrieg Balt-2½-L
Atl+1-W
Cin+7-L
LAR-3-W
Chi+1-W
NoPick

Den 27-21
N/A >>>>> 1 pts 1-1-0 2/3
Theopholis Buff-15½-L
Hou-7-W
GB-7-L
Chi/LV-O48-W
Ind/LAR-U50-W
NoPick

Den 28-23--W
N/A >>>>> 2 pts 1-1-0 1pt PP-1pt 2/3
HOF City Kid Ind+3½-L
LV-1-L
Dall+7-W
SF-3-L
Cle+10-L
NoPick

Cin 27-24
N/A >>>>> 0 pts 0-2-0 GE 1/3

FINALS SEA 23
ARI 20
PITTS 24
MINN 21
PHIL 31
TB 23
BUFF 31
NO 19
NE 42
CAR 13
ATL 34
27
DET 34
CLE 10
HOU 26
TENN0
NYG 21
LAC 18
JAX 26
SF 21
LAR 27
IND 20
CHI 25
LV 24
KC 37
BALT 20
GB 40
DALL 40
MIA 27
NYJ 21
DEN 28
CIN 3

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