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Bookie Challenge
WEEKLY REVIEW

October 3, 2024 | Issue #4 | Week #4

Parts Unknown (DP--Disassociated Press): Five total rookies were recruited to join the Bookie Challenge competition before the start of this year's 14th annual competition. Four of them were recruited by Vikings17--Kr@tos, Jets69, CAP_ATTACK, and Nelbarada, while one of the rookies--Realtalkrob--was enrolled by DawgPound. This year's rookie class ranks third overall for the largest group of newcomers to start a Bookie Challenge campaign in the history of the competition. In Challenge year #2, a record high of nine rookies joined the handicapping contest, while six handicappers in Challenge year #4 embarked on their rookie seasons. For the most part, every season that has seen four or more rookies join the Challenge, there have been one or two of them who have had sensational seasons, and even when there were just a couple of rookies that joined the competition, sometimes a special handicapper still emerges to make some serious noise in that year's contest (for example, Vikings17 was one of two rookies in last year's competition but he became the 1st rookie last season to ever win a regular-season championship). Keeping all the aforementioned in mind, this year's rookie class has struggled for the most part. As usually happens to a crop of newcomers, they make early mistakes posting their weekly selections, and as a consequence, they get their picks unnecessarily disqualified for not having a good grasp of the contest's official rules. This year's set of rookies are no exception, and up until this past weekend, the majority of them have underachieved. This past weekend, however, one newcomer finally got it right and became the first rookie this season to hit a 6-point parlay combination. His username for the Bookie Challenge competition is "Jet69", of whom is the first Jets' fan to ever participate in a Challenge competition.

To his credit, this past weekend Jets69 outdueled seven overall handicappers who each won two out of three of their respective 3-team parlay combinations (with two of them being rookies--Nelbarada and CAP_ATTACK). But within those seven handicappers were some of the competition's most seasoned veterans, such as the Biased Nihilist, 7mick7, TCU, and jcvike28. Also to be included in that group who had near-misses of 6-point parlay hits is the Hall-of-Fame City Kid, who is now in the midst of handicapping his sophomore year in the Bookie Challenge. Impressively, the City Kid, or last year's "other rookie" besides Vikings17, has had a good best-bet start to this season (6-2-0 win% .750), of which is a best-bet record that contrasts his start of his rookie season last year, when he set records for the worst start by a rookie in the history of the competition. But as it pertains to this year's greenhorns, Jets69 is the first one to make a serious move in this year's competition, and it's a serious move that has captured the attention of the league's top-notched handicappers. Unfortunately, Jets69 only connected on his 6-point parlay combo, and just like Blitzkrieg and the Nihilist did earlier when hitting their respective 6-point parlay winners, Jets69 also missed his two best bets and thus had to settle for an overall 6-point outing. Regardless of him missing out on both of his best bets, when this past weekend's handicapping action went into the books, Jets69--with 11 total points on the season--took the lead of the competition by two points over both the Biased Nihilist and Blitzkrieg (each finished their respective weekends with 9 pts apiece). Owning the last important slot in the point standings, or the 4th top seed, was Vikings17. who rounded out this year's four top seeds in the standings: #1 seed--Jets69 (11 pts), #2 seed --the Biased Nihilist (9 pts and owns #2 tiebreaker over Blitzkrieg), #3 seed--Blitzkrieg (9 pts), and #4 seed Vikings17 (8 pts).

Of course, by taking the overall lead in the point standings after the 4th week of this year's competition, Jets69 has been bestowed with two Bookie Challenge monikers, of which are "Joe Willie" and "Broadway Al" (Jet69's first name really is Al). But beyond all the theatrics and hubbub surrounding his first breakthrough weekend of his rookie season, "Broadway Al" had better tread lightly and had better not fritter away his advantageous top slot in the present point standing. But as most of the veteran handicappers in the competition can attest to, holding a slim lead over the likes of the Biased Nihilist and Blitzkrieg, or even Vikings17, is easier said than done. Granted, Joe Willie has it going on for the time being, but he has yet to prove that he has real staying power. In the lore of Bookie Challenge history, a rookie hitting a 6-point parlay hit in his inaugural season isn't that impressive when comparing the best rookie starts to a season, meaning in Challenge year #8 when two of that year's rookies--H.E. Pennypacker and DawgPound--each opened up their respective rookie seasons with PERFECTA outings apiece. With all that being said, this is the Bookie Challenge competition, and anything is liable to happen on any given weekend of the season, which should give a greenhorn, such as Broadway Al, something to believe in. And who really knows, maybe "Joe Willie" becomes the first rookie to win an overall Bookie Challenge championship.

Um--nahh. Thinking that Jets69 can win it all is somewhat of a stretch, for it takes a year or two to grasp every aspect of the Challenge competition. Naturally, there have been exceptions here and there who have come awfully close to pulling off the impossible. In the case of Broadway Al, he definitely has shown some signs that he's got the potential to be a good handicapper in the Bookie Challenge, perhaps even a surprising contender this season. After all, he has already displayed some of the "must do" maneuvers that can make a participant a true contender in the competition. As an example, of all the five rookies who have entered the competition this season, Jets69 and Kr@tos are the only two newbies who have not had any picks disqualified and who have made every possible selection they had to make in this year's contest, as in they both have even picked the exact-scores of every Thursday night game and every Monday night game. In fact, Jet69 has the overall lead in the competition by just two points, or two points that he won on the exact-score predictions of two Thursday night games.


WEEKLY ODDS AND ENDS: THE HANDICAPPING HODGEPODGE

  • BLITZKRIEG BRAVES THE ELEMENTS TO MAKE WEEKLY SELECTIONS FOR WEEK #4: If there is a participant who wants to know why Blitzkrieg is always in the "thick of things", always seeming to be a contender for a Bookie Challenge championship, that participant need not look any further than what the "Snowman and the Falcon" pulled off this weekend. Blitzkrieg has a home in Anderson, S.C., about an hour or so away from the Biased Nihilist's home in Greenwood, S.C., of which both neighborhoods were ravaged by hurricane Helene this past Friday and Saturday. Blitzkrieg, like the Nihilist, had no power since early Friday morning, nor did he have phone service nor internet service as of early afternoon on this past Saturday . But if there's one thing the better handicappers of the competition already know about succeeding in the Bookie Challenge, it is that a participant should not miss any outings of a Bookie Challenge season, or any exact-score selections of all the Thursday night games and Monday night games. Simply put, a participant cannot score any points if he doesn't submit his weekly selections on each and every weekend of the competition. With this in mind, the Nihilist was not at all surprised when he received a barely audible call that was intermittingly breaking up. The call was from his former brother-in-law Blitzkrieg, who drove a mile or so from his lake house and where he knew he could get some type of reception from his phone service. Eventually, the Nihilist went through all the pointspreads and Blitzkrieg made his selections right then and there, did so on the fly one can say. Amazingly, Blitzkrieg was only one of five handicappers this past weekend who won both of their respective best bets. The Nihilist said to himself once he disconnected his call with Blitzkrieg..."that's one tough competitor, one tough son-of-a-bitch." Subsequently, after Blitzkrieg won both of his best bets, he was able to keep pace with the Biased Nihilist and ended the weekend tied with the Nihilist for second place with nine points each. Both veteran handicappers surprisingly trail rookie Jets69 by two points for the overall lead in the point standings after this past handicapping weekend ran its course, but both the Nihilist and Blitzkrieg are both battle-tested handicappers who have already proven that they can both succeed in the Bookie Challenge competition. In other words, Jets69 will have his hands full staving off two of the league's toughest handicappers, of which a two-point edge for the overall lead in the point standings by the upstart rookie means nothing to the Nihilist anf Blitzkrieg.

  • WEEKLY TICKER ...............7mick7 finally snapped his losing parlay streak within his combined parlay combinations over the course of the first-three weeks of this season. He was 0-for-9 with his parlay picks through week #3, but this past weekend--the Mick mercifully won two of his three parlay selections. However, with just two parlay wins this season, "Mick Balls" still has the worst record for parlay wins wihin his combined parlays for the season (2 wins out of 12 overall parlay picks). So, who is the new handicapper with an odd parlay streak? DawgPound! Yep, he has won exactly one parlay pick within each of his four parlay combinations this season...............After Vikings17 recruited his son, Kr@tos, to join this year's competition, the father-and-son tandem became only the second father-and-son duo to ever participate in the Bookie Challenge besides the Biased Nihilist and his son jcvike28..................Rookie Jets69 is the only greenhorn out of the total of five newcomers this season, with CAP_ATTACK, Nelbarada, Kr@tos, Realtalkrob being the other four rookies, who has yet to lay a goose egg or have a scoreless outing..............


CHALLENGE FIELD: WEEKLY COMBINED STATS AND HAPPENINGS
WEEKLY RESULTS (Thru Week #4)
Week/YTD Best Bet Record Win % Total Pts Exact-Scores

5pt-------2pt---------1pt
Propositional Pts 3pt Parlays 6pt Parlays Perfectas Goose Eggs Golden Goose Eggs Wins Within Parlay Consensus Picks
Week #4 18-13-0 .581 24 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 2 0 22 consensus 1-1-0
Win% .500
YTD 59-65-1 .476 81 1 0 x9--1pt 14 0 3 0 12 2 83 consensus 2-3-0
Win% .400
Single-Season
Records
504-414-33
(Yr#5)
.549 (Yr#5) 1087 (Yr#8) 4
(Yrs #8
& #6)
N/A 3
(Yr#12)
181
(Yr#8)
9
(Yr#7)
56 (Yr#8) 19
(Yr#8)
92 (Yr#8) 23 (Yr#4) 631 (Yr#8) 16-8-2
W%.667 (Yr#4)

  • CHALLENGE HANDICAPPERS BOUNCE BACK IN WEEK #4, END TWO-WEEK HANDICAPPING SLUMP: Once in a blue moon, the Challenge's weekly numbers can play tricks with the weekend's statistics. First and foremost, the Challenge field snapped its two-week losing streak of best-bets and rebounded with a winning weekend since the first week of this season. The field went 18-13-0 for a .581 winning percentage of its best bets, and oddly the best-bet record was in complete opposite of the previous week's best-bet tally (13-18-0). Then there were also two coincidences to manifest after week #4 came to a close, as in the field recorded the same exact amount of total points as it did in the previous week, which was 24 points. The field also exactly won 22 parlay selections within its combined parlay combinations over the weekend. Lastly, one final beneficial number saw the field lay its lowest number of goose eggs on the year after it plopped down only two scoreless outings this past weekend.


WHO'S HOT AND WHO'S NOT
WHO'S HOT: Jets69

Without a doubt, a huge round of applause should be showered upon Jets69 for being the first rookie this season out of five total newcomers to knock down a 6-point parlay winner. Despite what one wants to think, for a rookie to manufacture his first-ever winning three-team combination--well--it's an exhilarating experience for the new kid on the block. As a matter of fact, the Challenge competition views the feat as a participant "making his bones". Now granted, Jets69 didn't break any rookie records by winning his first 6-point parlay combo on his 4th rookie outing of his greenhorn season, but his feat is not even close to an all-time rookie record. In Challenge year #8, two rookies to start that season--H.E. Pennypacker and Dawgpound--each opened up their rookie campaigns with PERFECTA outings apiece, which was utterly spectacular (PERFECTA outing consists of winning both best bets and all parlay picks for an 8-pt outing). But in what can be deemed as an unusual and comical tidbit, when the Nihilist went to transfer all the selections made on last week's Pick 'em page to the Picks-&-Results page, he got momentarily confused and had to do a double-check. He had to go back and check that Jets69 did not post the following as his two best-bet selections: "Best bets: Vikings!!! And J.e.t.s. jets jets jets!!!". Interestingly, it was another rookie, Kr@tos who made the entry on the Pick 'em page. Furthermore, just out of curiosity, the Nihilist checked to see how many times Jets69 had picked his J-E-T-S throughout the first four weeks of this season. The answer might surprise many participants in the Challenge field, but it saysmore about Jets69's handicapping discipline than about him taking the Jets willy-nilly just because the Green Slime is his favorite team. On the contrary, "Joe Willie" has only chosen the Jets just once this season, and he did it as a best bet in week #2. By the way, the Jets covered that best-bet as 3½-point favorites over the Titans by a final of 24-17. As for Kr@tos, there's no telling why he got all pumped up about his Jets' selection as 7½-point favorites over the "hee haw! hee-haw" Broncos. Um, the Jets lost straight up, 10-9, to the Broncos--and in New York no less! Anyway, I know that either Jets69 or Kr@tos must be singing a little jingle these days, but I'm not sure who's singing it..."When you're a Jet, you're a Jet all the way from your first cigarette to your last dying day...."

WHO'S NOT: DawgPound

By all rights, it should be CAP_ATTACK occupying this segment in the weekly review because the rookie is in dead-last place in the Bookie Challenge point standings, seeing how he has scored only two lousy points on the season so far. Really and truly, "lower case attack" should be leading the league in goose eggs, because he would have had three goose eggs on the season if not for a one-point exact-score win keeping him from laying a goose egg in week #2 of this season. But this week CAP_ATTACK is going to get a mulligan from being tabbed as the week's "WHO'S-NOT-HOT-Handicapper", of which is mainly because most rookies are expected to struggle mightily during their greenhorn seasons, especially in the beginning of their newbie seasons. But for a veteran handicapper of the Bookie Challenge competition, he had better have--at the very least--an average start to a handicapping season, otherwise the hammer of ridicule will come down hard on his losing ass. DawgPound is that handicapper after this past weekend's handicapping action ran its course. Let's not totally misconstrue his start to this year's Bookie Challenge competition, which is his 8th season handicapping the competition. But after opening this year with two best-bet winners and a one-point exact score hit, the Dog-Day-Afternoon Handicapper had accrued three points and was in 3rd place in the year's first point standings, trailing only then the two front-runners in Vikings17 (7 pts/1st place) and Blitzkrieg (6 pts/2nd place). However, two consecutive goose eggs over the span of the last two weeks has dropped the beleaguered veteran 11 slots down in the point standings, nose-diving from 3rd place to 13th place (out of 16 total slots). However, like a few of the wily veterans in the competition, DawgPound has the handicapping moxie to turn things around. Yes, before anybody forgets, the Dawg almost won an Overall Bookie Challenge championship just a couple of years ago. What's more, in his rookie season he won that year's Swami award for ending the regular season and postseason with the league's top best-bet record, of which is a record that no rookie has ever come close to breaking.


POINT STANDINGS (Thru Week #4)
Total Pts Participant Best Bet Record Win % Weeks Won Exact Scores Propositional Pts 3pt Parlays 6pt Parlays Perfectas Goose Eggs Golden Goose-Eggs Wins in Parlays
11 Pts Jets69* 3-5-0 .375 1 5pts-0 2pts-0 1pt(x2) 2 0 1 0 0 0 7
9 Pts B.Nihilist* 3-5-0 .375 1 5pts-0 2pts-0 1pt-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 8
9 Pts Blitzkrieg 3-5-0 .375 0 5pts-0 2pts-0 1pt-0 0 0 1 0 0 1 5
8 Pts Vikings17* 3-5-0 .375 1 5pts(x1) 2pt-0 1pt-0 5 0 0 0 2 0 4
6 Pts jcvike28 6-2-0 .750 0 5pts-0 2pts-0 1pt-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 6
6 Pts HOF City Kid 6-2-0 .750 0 5pts-0 2pts-0 1pt-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5
6 Pts moemonie 5-2-0 .714 0 5pts-0 2pts-0 1pt-(x1) 1 0 0 0 0 0 7
6 Pts Driveline* 5-3-0 .625 0 5pts-0 2pts-0 1pt(x1) 1 0 0 0 1 0 4
5 Pts Realtalkrob 5-3-0 .625 0 5pts-0 2pts-0 1pt-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 4
5 Pts 7mick7* 4-4-0 .500 0 5pts-0 2pts-0 1pt(x1) 1 0 0 0 0 1 2
4 Pts Kr@tos* 4-4-0 .500 0 5pts-0 2pts-0 1pt-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 5
4 Pts dbucc* 3-5-0 .375 0 5pts-0 2pts-0 1pt(x1) 1 0 0 0 0 0 6
4 Pts DawgPound 3-4-0 .429 0 5pts-0 2pts-0 1pt(x1) 1 0 0 0 2 0 5
4 Pts Nelbarada* 3-5-0 .375 0 5pts-0 2pts-0 1pt(x1) 1 0 0 0 1 0 5
3 Pts TCU* 3-5-0 .375 0 5pts-0 2pts-0 1pt-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 6
2 Pts CAP_ATTACK* 1-5-1 .167 0 5pts-0 2pts-0 1pt-(x1) 1 0 0 0 2 0 6
Statistics in BOLD denotes participant leads league in statistical category.
*Asterisk next to participant's name denotes participant's Latinum has been received. Total projected jackpot: $720 (Current jackpot: $450). Projected split of jackpot: 1st place $450 (BC Champion); 2nd place $120 (Runner up to BC Champion), 3rd place $100 (Regular Season Champion), and 4th place prize $50 (Top seed from divisional seeding).

INDIVIDUAL PICKS (Week #4)
(Note: Participants are listed in order in which they posted their picks)
Participant Best Bets Parlay Exact Scores Propositional Picks Results >>>>> Total Pts W-L-T Week Won Exact-Scores

5pt------2pt------1pt
Propositional Pts 3pt parlay 6pt parlay Perfecta Goose Egg Golden Goose-Egg Wins in Parlay
dbucc Dall-6-L
Cin-4-W
SF-10-W
NYJ -7-L
KC-7L
Dall 30-17

Det 24-23
N/A >>>>> 1 pts 1-1-0 1/3
DawgPound Dall-6-L
Cle+2-L
GB-3-L
Det-3-W
Hou-7-L
Dall 31-27

Det 26-20
N/A >>>>> 0 pts 0-2-0 GE 1/3
B.Nihilist NO+2½-W
Cin-4-W
Jax+7-W
Minn+3-W
Buff+3-L
Dall 24-21

Det 27-24
N/A >>>>> pts 2-0-0 2/3
Jets69 Pitts-1½-L
Ari-3½-L
Minn+3-W
Cin-4-W
NO+3-W
Dall 21-17

Det 27-17
N/A >>>>> 6 pts 0-2-0 WW 6pt W-3/3
HOF City Kid Cin-4-W
Cle+2-L
NO+3-W
Pitts-2-L
Minn+3-W
Dall 27-20

Det 27-20
N/A >>>>> 1 pts 1-1-0 2/3
CAP_ATTACK NYJ-7½-L
Hou-6½-L
Minn+3-W
Ind+2-W
LAR+3-L
NYG 24-22

xs
N/A >>>>> 0 pts 0-2-0 GE 2/3
7mick7 Hou--6½-L
Det-2½-W
LV-2-W
Chi-3-W
NYJ-7-L
Dall 27-20

Det 27-20
N/A >>>>> 1 pts 1-1-0 GE 2/3
TCU Buff+2½-L
SF-10-W
Phi/TB-O44-W
NO/Atl-O43-W
Cin/CAR-U47-L
Dall 31-28

Det 35-30
N/A >>>>> 1 pts 1-1-0 2/3
jcvike28 Cin-4-W
LAC+7½-W
Pitts-2-L
TB+2-W
SF-10-W
Dall 27-20

Det 24-20
N/A >>>>> 2 pts 2-0-0 2/3
Kr@tos Minn+2½W
NYJ-7½-L
Hou-7-L
Pitts-2-L
Ari-3-L
Dall 27-24

Det 28-24
N/A >>>>> 1 pts 1-1-0 0/3
Vikings17 Dal/NYG-O45½-L
Det-2½-W
Pitts-2-L
Buf/Blt-O47-L
Mia-1-L
Dall 30-24

Det 34-20
N/A >>>>> 1 pts 1-1-0 0/3
Blitzkrieg Balt-2½-W
Det-2½-W
GB-3-L
Ari-3-L
LV-2-W
xs

Det 27-21
N/A >>>>> 2 pts 2-0-0 1/3
Realtalkrob Cin-4-W
SF-10-W
Phi-2-L
Det-3-W
Pitts-2-L
xs

Mia 28-10(DQ)
N/A >>>>> 2 pts 2-0-0 1/3
Driveline Cin-4-W
Det-2½-W
GB-3-L
Cle+2-L
Buff+3-L
Dall 31-13

Det 27-17
N/A >>>>> 2 pts 2-0-0 0/3
Nelbrada Den+7½-W
Ari-3½-L
Ind+2-W
LV-2-W
Hou-7-L
xs

Det 26-20
N/A >>>>> 1 pts 1-1-0 2/3
moemonie Chi/LV-O-(DQ)
LAC+7½-W
Pitts-2-L
Phil-2-L
Jax+7-W
xs

Sea 24-23
N/A >>>>> 1 pts 1-0-0 1/3

FINALS DALL 20
NYG 15
ATL 26
NO 24
IND 27
PITTS 24
HOU 24
JAX 20
MINN 31
GB 29
CIN 34
CAR 24
CHI 24
LAR 18
DEN 10
NYJ 9
TB 33
PHIL16
WASH 42
ARI 14
SF 30
NE 13
LV 20
CLE 16
KC 17
LAC 10
BALT 35
BUFF 10
TENN 31
MIA 12
DET 42
SEA29

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