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Bookie Challenge WEEKLY REVIEW October 19, 2023 | Issue #7 | Week #6 |
Parts Unknown (DP--Disassociated Press): If Vince Lombardi were alive today, and if Vince Lombardi were a die-hard fan of the Bookie Challenge competition from its onset, and if Vince Lombardi were to witness the first-six weeks of this year's competition, and if Vince Lombardi were able to see the present front-runners who occupy the top-four seeds of the Challenge point standings after this past weekend, week #6, he would be yelling at the top of his lungs his iconic line--"WHAT THE HELL'S GOING ON OUT HERE!?" And those aforementioned words shouted out by Lombardi would be the right ones. With the exception of DawgPound, to risk looking at the other participants who presently occupy the top seeds in the Challenge point standings, would be risking one's eyesight to be exchanged for that of Hellen Keller's eyesight. Or worse, to look at today's current top seeds in the standings would be tantamount to staring at Medusa's head and being turned into stone. Now granted, every Bookie Challenge competition is different, no seasons are ever the same because of unforeseen handicapping performances from the unlikeliest of handicappers that take place from one year to the next, of which the annual handicapping surprises can flip a Challenge competition on its head. For the latest example, just think of Driveline and his recent emergence over the span of the last-four years in the Bookie Challenge competition, how he has changed the old script from being a perennial loser for years and years early on in his Challenge career into a new script in which he has morphed into one of the league's top handicappers, into one who has finally been able to bask in the glory of Bookie Challenge stardom. With that being pointed out, the inchoate storylines for this year's competition are no different than the ones from past competitions, meaning that this year's storylines are just as improbable and chaotic as the ones in previous competitions. Already this year's storylines are bordering on the fantastical, are over-the-top to say the least, and are storylines being inundated with handicapping performances that are bristling with the bizarre. Let us start off with this year's most improbable storyline, that of catman's. Here we have a handicapper, who in his first-three seasons handicapping the Bookie Challenge, built an ignominious reputation for being a recidivist quitter, but he unbelievably opened up this year's first week with a co-share of the overall lead in the standings. More remarkable is that in the ensuing five weeks of this year's competition, he has been the outright leader in the point standings and can now possibly become the first handicapper in the history of the Bookie Challenge to go wire-to-wire into a divisional seeding with at least a share or the outright lead in the first-eight weeks of a competition. Nobody has ever pulled off that highly commendable feat! But by the same token, after this past weekend, his consecutive streak atop the Challenge point standings has turned into a precarious one-point lead, and over a handicapper--Theopholis--who is at the heart of this year's second and unforeseen storyline. In Theo, we have a handicapper who, apart from his incredible sophomore season (Challenge yr #5), in which he won his first and so far his only divisional title, was a quintessential bottom feeder in the competition for six out of his first-seven years in the Bookie Challenge, of which for those six aforementioned seasons he qualified for the Challenge postseasons as a lowly at-large participant, or with the worst playoff qualification that a handicapper can take into a Challenge playoffs. But all of the sudden, over the last two competitions, Theopholis has somewhat righted his ship and has qualified for the last-two postseasons as a divisional wild card after finishing in second place in his last-two regular-season divisional races. But what was totally incomprehensible about his wild-card qualification from two years ago, he finished in second place of that year's Run-&-Shoot divisional race without hitting a single 6-point parlay winner for that year's entire regular season. This past weekend, however, Theo hammered out his second 6-point parlay hit of this season, and as a result, he made his second foray into the top seeds this season. But this time around, he concluded this past weekend with his highest slot in this year's point standings, which is second place overall, and more importantly he is presently just one point removed from tying catman in total points for the overall lead of the competition. However, if a tie in total points between catman and Theopholis for the overall lead does come to fruition, it's highly possible that the league's second tiebreaker, most parlay wins within one's combined parlay combinations on the season, will be the deciding tiebreaker, and one that could turn out to be bad news for Theo. At the present time, catman not only leads the league with 12 overall wins within his combined parlay combos, but he also has four more parlay wins within his combined parlay combinations than Theo presently has (12 wins vs 8 wins). Speaking of tiebreaker scenarios that could come into play at this year's all-important divisional seeding, of which right now there stands a high probability that tiebreakers will dramatically affect a participant's final seeding into one of this year's divisions, Theopholis became the most recent handicapper who was unceremoniously denied a crucial week-won tiebreaker, all thanks to 7mick7, who this past weekend matched Theopholis' 7-point outing with one of his own. The 6-point parlay winner by the Irish Hustler was just his first of this season, but it was a big-time parlay hit that has come in the nick of time for 7mick7, and mainly because it enabled 7mick7 to be the latest participant to vacate the lower tier of the point standings. Significantly, in light of his clutch parlay winner, the Irish Hustler rose five slots in the standings and capped off this past weekend by finishing in seventh place overall in the standings. Equally important, with 11 points accrued this season, 7mick7 is a 6-point parlay hit or a PERFECTA outing away for seriously contending for the number-one overall seed at this year's divisional seeding, but he doesn't have the luxury of time to let loose with such handicapping heroics, for there only remains TWO weekends left to handicap before the arrival of this year's divisional seeding. With that being said, it's not out of the realm of possibility for "Mick Balls" to register another 6-point parlay hit. Not including 7mick7's 2-year hiatus from the competition (Challenge yrs' #9 & #10), he has produced a 6-year run, to include this year, in which he has at least registered one regular-season 6-point parlay hit, not to forget that he nailed down three 6-point parlay winners just last season and a career-high four 6-point parlay hits in Challenge year #7, the season he won his only divisional title and the same year that a botched set of his weekly picks in the Super-Bowl round kept him from winning that year's overall Bookie Challenge championship. There's also another statistic that needs to be pointed out that concerns 7mick7's parlay-hitting history, and it's a stat that has flown under the radar for the most part. Specifically, 7mick7 is one of the few handicappers who has only missed hitting a 6-point parlay winner in just one year of his Challenge career (Challenge yr #5). Therefore, when given 7mick7's track record for knocking down parlay hits, it's not all that inconceivable that he can bang out one more before this year's divisional seeding. This past weekend ended with catman amassing his 19th point of the season and still hanging on to the overall top seed. As already mentioned, Theo, with 18 points garnered on the season, is currently in second place in the standings and owns the second overall top seed. And just one point behind Theopholis, there exists a tie for the third overall top seed between DawgPound and DIRTYBIRDS, both of whom concluded their respective outings with 17 overall points apiece. However, after implementing the league's first regular-season tiebreaker, most best-bet wins, DawgPound ended this past weekend as the technical owner of the third top seed, and accordingly, DIRTYBIRDs ended his outing as the occupant of the fourth and final top seed in the standings. Looking ahead, this upcoming weekend will be the penultimate weekend before this year's divisional seeding and it's a no-brainer that it will be a highly pivotal outing that will certainly have almost every participant in the competition on edge. At this point of this year's competition there has never been a tighter race for a competition's four top seeds, as is quite evident when considering that only three points separates the first top seed from the fourth top seed. Additionally, there are plenty of other participants in the point standings who have viable shots to supplant the four present front-runners in the upcoming two weekends that will lead up to this year's divisional seeding. Essentially, over the upcoming two weeks, there's an eye-popping probability that the point standings could coalesce even further and create an unprecedented situation in which tiebreakers will determine the top four seeds at this year's divisional seeding. |
WEEKLY ODDS AND ENDS: THE HANDICAPPING HODGEPODGE |
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CHALLENGE FIELD: WEEKLY COMBINED STATS AND HAPPENINGS | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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WHO'S HOT AND WHO'S NOT |
WHO'S HOT: THEOPHOLIS It's been a very long time since Theopholis has been in serious contention for an overall number-one top seed before a divisional seeding. In fact, he hasn't been a relevant contender of an all-important first stage of a competition as he is now and not since Challenge year #5, when he completely caught that year's Challenge field off guard after capturing that season's overall number-one seed at that year's divisional seeding. With the way things stand today, Theo has positioned himself to possibly become only the third participant in the history of the competition to win a second overall number-one top seed at a divisional seeding. But don't wager the farm that he'll once again shock the Bookie Challenge world just yet, because as nearly all of the participants in the competition should already known is that the league's most eccentric handicapper can lose his focus at the drop of a dime. For example, just this season, in the opening weekend of this year's competition, theopholis failed to submit his preseason Super Bowl selections, of which is a mental lapse of concentration that could possibly come back to bite him in the ass if by chance he is still a contender for an overall championship in the third and fourth rounds of this year's postseason. But give Theopholis his due credit. Over the last couple of seasons and also this season, Theo has been more engaged with the Challenge competition and his main screw ups, meaning his propensity for failing to submit his weekly sets of picks, have been drastically reduced to occurring farther and fewer times in his recent competitions, which includes this year's competition. It's not many times during a Bookie Challenge competition that you'll find Theopholis roaming around in this segment of a weekly review, but after his handicapping performances over the last-three weeks, there has been no other handicapper in the league more worthy to be coined as this week's WHO'S-HOT-HANDICAPPER than Theo is. More to the point, not a single handicapper over the last-three weeks have come close to matching Theo's combined point total for those three respective weeks. Amazingly, on the strength of two 7-point outings, Theo has accrued a whopping 15 overall points for those respective three weeks. What's more, if theo keeps it up, he'll certainly be this year's feel-good story. There's one more thing: The way things are going for Theo this season, it's a 100 percent guaranteed that he will not miss posting a weekly set of picks this season, not even if he has to attend a gay Scotch-Irish wedding. |
WHO'S NOT: dbucc As normally is the case, if a handicapper commits one of the competition's Cardinal sins and fails to post his weekly set of picks, he automatically gets the weekly nod for the week's WHO'S-NOT-HOT-HANDICAPPER. Granted, it's more than likely that dbucc missed submitting his weekly selections because of computer problems, of which he had told the Nihilist as much when he phoned him this past Thursday to call in his Thursday night exact-score selection, but even so, dbucc could have also phoned in the rest of his weekly picks regardless of his computer malady. Technically speaking, the last time dbucc failed to post weekly picks was in last year's postseason, but failing to submit weekly selections in a postseason is not that uncommon, as many handicappers have not submitted weekly selections in the playoffs for various reasons, mainly because they felt they didn't have a good shot at winning overall Bookie Challenge championships. But when it comes to the regular season, the last time dbucc failed to post his weekly set of selections occurred way back in Challenge year #5, when he went AWOL for that year's Turkey Shoot, of which he missed both outings of that year's Thanksgiving holiday. Doing the math, it has been 138 regular-season weeks since the Donald failed to submit picks for a regular season outing. To emphasize, when dbucc missed the Turkey Shoot of Challenge year #5, his sophomore season handicapping the Bookie Challenge, it marked the only time he has ever missed posting weekly selections in a regular season. Regardless, after failing to post his weekly selections this past weekend, dbucc ended the weekend in 6th place overall in the point standings and five critical points away from the fourth and final top-seed slot in the standings. As is quite evident, nothing good ever comes from not posting one's weekly selections. |
POINT STANDINGS (Thru Week #6) | ||||||||||||||
Total Pts | Participant | Best Bet Record | Win % | Weeks Won | Exact Scores 5pt--------2pt- -------1pt |
Propositional Pts | 3pt Parlays | 6pt Parlays | Perfectas | Goose Eggs | Golden Goose-Eggs | Wins in Parlays | ||
19 pts | catman23* | 6-6-0 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
18 pts | Theopholis | 6-5-0 | .545 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
17 pts | DawgPound | 5-7-0 | .417 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
17 pts | DIRTYBIRDS* | 4-5-1 | .444 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
15 pts | TCU* | 8-4-0 | .667 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
12 pts | dbucc* | 4-5-1 | .444 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
11 pts | 7mick7* | 5-6-1 | .455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
10 pts | HOF City Kid* | 3-8-1 | .273 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
10 pts | jcvike28* | 3-9-0 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
9 pts | Blitzkrieg | 8-3-1 | .727 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
7 pts | moemonie* | 4-8-0 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
6 pts | Vikings17* | 5-6-1 | .455 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
5 pts | Driveline* | 5-7-0 | .417 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
4 pts | B.Nihilist* | 3-8-1 | .273 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
Statistics in BOLD denotes participant leads league in statistical category. | ||||||||||||||
*Asterisk next to participant's name denotes participant's Latinum has been received. Total projected jackpot: $560 (Current jackpot: $440). Projected split of jackpot: 1st place $420 (BC Champion); 2nd place $100 (Runner up to BC Champion), 3rd place $40 (Regular Season Champion) |
INDIVIDUAL PICKS (Week #6) (Note: Participants are listed in order in which they posted their picks. *Asterisk in WIP column denotes a 3-pt parlay attempt) |
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Participant | Best Bets | Parlay | Exact Scores | Propositional Picks | Results >>>>> | Total Pts | W-L-T | Week Won | Exact-Scores 5pt-- --2pt----1pt |
Propositional Pts | 3pt parlay | 6pt parlay | Perfecta | Goose Egg | Golden Goose-Egg | Wins in Parlay | ||
TCU | Phil-7-L Buff-14-L |
SF/Cle-U38-W Det/TB-O43-L Car/Mia-O49-W |
KC 31-13 Dall 24-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 0 pts | 0-2-0 | GE | 2/3 | |||||||||
Theopholis | Wash+3-W SF-6½-L |
NYG+14-W Hou+2-W NYJ+7-W |
KC 30-18 LAC 25-22 |
N/A | >>>>> | 7 pts | 1-1-0 | 6pt | W-3/3 | |||||||||
7mick7 | Atl-2½-L Balt-4-W |
LV-3-W LAR-7-W Car/Mia-O49-W |
KC 33-17 Dall 27-24 |
N/A | >>>>> | 7 pts | 1-1-0 | 6pt | W-3/3 | |||||||||
DawgPound | KC-10½-W Sea+2½-L |
Phil-7-L Jax-5-W Buff-14-L |
KC 34-17 LAC 27-26 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
Vikings17 | KC-10½-W Den/KC-O47½-L |
Wash+3-W Ind+5-L SF-7-L |
KC 34-20 LAC 30-27 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
B.Nihilist | KC-10½-W SF-6½-L |
SF/Cle-O38-L NO-2-L Det-3-W |
KC 31-17 Dall 27-24 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
DIRTYBIRDS | KC-10½-W LAR-7-W |
SF-7-L Buff-14-L Phil-5--L |
KC 34-21 Dall 27-24 |
N/A | >>>>> | 2 pts | 2-0-0 | 0/3 | ||||||||||
jcvike28 | Atl-2½-L SF-6½-L |
Mia-14-W Ind+5-L NO-2-L |
xs LAC 27-24 |
N/A | >>>>> | 0 pts | 0-2-0 | GE | 1/3 | |||||||||
Blitzkrieg | Dall-2½-W Atl-2½-L |
Phil-7-L Cin-3-W SF-7-L |
xs Dall 27-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
catman23 | Cin-2½-W NO-1½-L |
Mia-14-W Det-3-W Buff-14-L |
xs Dall 24-21 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
moemonie | SF-6½-L Cin-2½-W |
Ind+5-L NYJ+7-W LV-3-W |
xs LAC 24-17 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
Driveline | SF-6½-L Cin-2½-W |
Ind+5-L Phil-7-L Det-3-W |
xs Dall 27-23 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
HOF City Kid | Dall-2½-W Phil-7-L |
Dall-3-L Phil-7-L Cin-3-W |
xs Dall 30-23 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3* | ||||||||||
dbucc | XS for Thurs KC 33-17 only picked posted for the week |
FINALS | KC 19 DEN 8 |
BALT 24 TENN 16 |
WASH 24 ATL 16 |
MINN 19 CHI 13 |
CIN 17 SEA 13 |
CLE 19 SF 17 |
HOU 20 NO 13 |
JAX 37 IND 20 |
MIA 42 CAR 21 |
LV 21 NE 17 |
DET 20 TB 6 |
LAR 26 ARI 9 |
NYJ 20 PHIL 14 |
BUFF 14 NYG 9 |
DALL 20 LAC 17 |
PREVIOUS REVIEWS | Preseason Special | Wk #1 | Wk #2 | Wk #3 | Wk #4 | Wk #5 |