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Bookie Challenge WEEKLY REVIEW October 12, 2023 | Issue #6 | Week #5 |
Parts Unknown (DP--Disassociated Press): It is said that "revenge is a dish better served cold", and this past weekend, both dbucc and Theopholis experienced the full brunt of that specific idiom. To be precise, in the previous weekend, after dbucc landed a 3-point outing and Theopholis knocked down a 7-point outing, they both supplanted DawgPound and DIRTYBIRDS, respectively, from their third-and-fourth seed slots within the Challenge point standings. But after this past weekend, after both DawgPound and DIRTYBIRDS produced respective 7-point outings, they both returned the prior weekend's favor and dispatched both of dbucc and Theopholis out of their respective top-seed slots, and did as much in a uniquely record-setting manner (read more about the Dawg and the Birdman's dual dip into the record books in this week's WHO'S-HOT segment). This past weekend also ended with catman's overall lead getting sliced one point lower, from three points to two points, but this time around the catman's slim lead is now over DawgPound (18 pts vs 16 pts) instead of it being over TCU. Both TCU and DIRTYBIRDS concluded the weekend tied in total points, 15 points apiece, for the third top seed in the standings, but TCU officially ended this past weekend with the third top seed after besting DIRTYBIRDS by virtue of the league's first tiebreaker, most best-bet wins, of which Too Tall Tommy easily won the tiebreak because of his league-leading 8-2-0 best-bet tally versus that of DIRTYBIRDS' 2-5-1 best-bet marks for the season. Rounding out the top handicappers in the standings were dbucc and Theopholis, but they both noticeably slid down the point standings, with dbucc dropping to fifth place and three points from the fouth top seed and Theopholis slipping to fifth place and four points from the fourth top seed in the standings. Impressively, and in clutch fashion, DawgPound rebounded this past weekend from his previous goose-egg outing, which was a scoreless weekend that saw his all-time scoring streak end at 25 consecutive weeks. He connected on a relatively stress-free 6-point parlay winner: Philadelphia (-5 over the LA Rams), Miami (-11 over the NY Giants), and Kansas City (-4 over Minnesota). He also complemented his parlay hit with one best-bet winner to achieve his critical 7-point outing, with the best-bet winner being his easiest cover of the weekend after the game between Baltimore and Pittsburgh stayed well under the game's pointspread total of 38 points (the Steelers won by a final of 17-10). However, the downside to the Dawg-Day-Afternoon Handicapper's weekend was that he got knocked out of a crucial week-won by his stepson DIRTYBIRDS. Heading into Monday night's game it appeared as if DawgPound was going to register his first week-won since week #16 of Challenge year #10, or a stretch of 55 consecutive weeks without a week-won. But DIRTYBIRDS extended his father's week-won drought to 56 games in a row after he connected on his first-ever, one-point exact-score winner to complement his 6-point parlay hit and culminate his weekend with a 7-point outing. The potential importance of DIRTYBIRDS robbing DawgPound of his week-won can not be underestimated. After this past weekend, DawgPound is just two points from catman's overall lead in the point standings, and with only three more outings left before this year's divisional seeding, there exists a possibility that both handicappers can end up in a tie in total points for the overall number-one top seed. What's more, after this weekend, one game separates both handicappers' respective best-bet records, as catman presently holds the edge over DawgPound with a year-long best-bet record of 5-5-0 versus DawgPound's year-to-date best-bet tally of 4-6-0. Theoretically, both handicappers can end up tied in total points and also tied in best-bet wins (1st tiebreaker) at this year's divisional seeding. Interestingly, both handicappers are presently tied for the league's second tiebreaker, most parlay wins within combined parlay combinations, of which both participants each have 10 parlay wins within their respective parlay combos for the season. Looking ahead, if all the aforementioned scenarios play out, meaning if catman and DawgPound end the divisional seeding tied after the first-two tiebreakers, then the next tiebreaker--most weeks-won--could turn out to be the decisive tiebreaker. With all the aforementioned tiebreaker scenarios in mind, one can readily see the possible consequence of DawgPound being denied this past weekend's week-won. But before anyone begins to fathom a divisional showdon between catman and DawgPound at this year's divisional seeding, let's not forget that three weeks of a Bookie Challenge can be an eternity, and the whole landscape of the point standings can change. With that being pointed out, it wouldn't come as a major surprise if none of the present four top seeds in the standings will even be in the top-four slots by the time the divisional seeding rolls around. In fact, and surprisingly, out of the present top-four seeds, only DIRTYBIRDS has previously captured an overall number-one top seed at a divisional seeding (Challenge yr #11). For that matter, catman, the present front-runner for this year's overall number-one top seed, is going to be hard pressed to hold on to his enviable top slot. This year, the "Tomcat from Handicapping Alley", after being in a dead-heat tie with DawgPound for the overall lead in the point standings after the first week of this season, has been extremely fortunate to have clung on to the outright lead of the point standings for the past four weeks. Two seasons ago, to start off the competition of Challenge year #11, catman shockingly hit a 7-point outing, the only participant to do so in that year's opening weekend, and held a 6-point lead over the rest of the field. But that lead was short-lived after Tony Soprano nailed a PERFECTA outing in week #2 of that year's competition to tie catman atop of the point standings. What's more, other than catman being tied for the overall lead in weeks' #4 and #5 of that season, he never once again flirted for an overall outright lead of a point standings until the second week of this year's competition. So as can readily be seen, so far this season catman has been treading in uncharted territory, and there's no telling if he'll have the spunk to win this year's overall number-one top seed, or if he'll even finish with a any of the four-top seeds after this year's divisional seeding. DIRTYBIRDS, however, has proven that he at least has what it takes to win an overall top-seed at a divisional seeding, because he's already been there and done it. In fact, he won the number-one overall top seed in Challenge year #11, the very season catman jumped out to that 6-point opening-week lead. Unfortunately, Birdman would go on to squander his number-one overall seed from Challenge year #11, for he subsequently became the first number-one top seed to not win a divisional title. Regardless, one thing is going to be a certainty for DIRTYBIRDS if he doesn't get his act together, and that is that it's going to be another long season if he doesn't. As commendable as his 6-point parlay hit from this past weekend was, the Birdman has left a lot of possible points on the table so far this season. For example, he is the only particpant in the league this season to not submit exact-score selections for every Thursday night game this season, and more detrimental, he is the only handicapper this season to have missed posting a weekly set of picks. There's no telling where the Birdman would be right now in the point standings if not for his aforementioned handicapping transgressions. Hell, if not for his screw ups, DIRTYBIRDS might be holding the overall lead in the point standings today. In any event, let's give him his dues because he did bounce back with a big-time parlay hit after going incognito last weekend. In fact, it took a lot of cojones, or balls, to select the three-team combination he posted this past weekend, of which the combo was arguably the most daring one this season. He rolled the dice and selected three underdogs and all three of them won their respective games OUTRIGHT!: Jacksonville (+6) beat Buffalo 25-20, Indianapolis (+3) defeated Tennessee 23-16, and the NY Jets (+2) knocked off Denver 31-21. There's one last tidbit to add about the Birdman's weekend. He became only the third handicapper in the history of the competition to hit a 6-point parlay winner in the very next weekend after failing to post a weekly set of picks. Rookie NYY Friar achieved the feat in Challenge year #4 and moemonie pulled it off in Challenge year #8. |
WEEKLY ODDS AND ENDS: THE HANDICAPPING HODGEPODGE |
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CHALLENGE FIELD: WEEKLY COMBINED STATS AND HAPPENINGS | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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WHO'S HOT AND WHO'S NOT |
WHO'S HOT: Father-&-Son Tandem: DawgPound & DIRTYBIRDS This past weekend, DawgPound connected on his second 6-point parlay hit of the season, and on his 10th all-time for regular-season handicapping. More noticeable is that DawgPound is slowly starting to build a solid reputation for being one of the better handicappers in the league, especially after seemingly breaking his uncanny propensity for alternating good handicapping seasons with bad ones. According to his weird handicapping pattern he was supposed to have a bad season this year, but that's not turning out to be the case. In the case of his stepson, DIRTYBIRDS, his parlay hit from this past weekend was only his 6th all-time of his 5-year Challenge career, but it was his second parlay hit of this season, of which is significant in that he has only had one season in which he registered multiple parlay hits (3 in Challenge yr #11, his 3rd year in the competition). As mentioned earlier in this weekly review, the father-and-son tandem have both hit their respective two parlay hits for this season on the same weekend. In the history of the Bookie Challenge, there have only been three father-and-son teams handicapping the Bookie Challenge: PinstripesPoppa and his son Pinstripes (handicapped 3 seasons together), DawgPound and his son DIRTYBIRDS (5 seasons), and the Biased Nihilist and his son jcvike28 (10 seasons). For starters, the-father-and-son duo of PinstripesPoppa and Pinstripes have never hit 6-point parlays on the same weekend, much less have they done it twice in the same season. But after DawgPound and DIRTYBIRDS hit 6-point parlays twice on the same weekend in this year's competition, they became only the second father-and-son combo besides the Nihilist and jcvike to pull off the feat in the history of the competition. Of course, because the Nihilist and jcvike have together handicapped a total of 10 seasons, which is double the number of competitions than DawgPound and DIRTYBIRDS have handicapped (5 seasons), it stands to reason that the Nihilist and jcvike would have connected on more 6-point parlay hits on the same weekend and twice in the same year. But despite the disparity of handicapped seasons, the Nihilist and jcvike have taken hitting parlays on the same weekend to a whole different level, as in an otherworldy level. To begin with, the Nihilist and jcvike hit PERFECTAS on the same weekend in Challenge year #10, but only did it once in that season. But as it concerns them hitting 6-point parlays twice on the same weekend for a competition, they amazingly pulled of the incredible feat in three different seasons, Challenge years' #7, #8, and #11. However, in Challenge year #8, if one can believe it, the Nihilist and jcvike each hit PERFECTA outings in back-to-back weekends. And in Challenge year #7, they twice connected on parlay hits on the same weekends, with one of those weekends ending up with PERFECTA outings by each handicapper. But also in Challenge year #7, the father-and-son tandem connected on a third weekend in which they knocked down parlays on the same weekend after each handicapper pulled off the feat in the first round of that season's playoffs. But this year is turning out to be quite the season for the father-and-son combo of DawgPound and DIRTYBIRDS, for they're presently in position to register 6-point parlay hits on the same weekend for a third time in a regular season, which is something that not even the Nihilst and jcvike have accomplished in a regular season. |
WHO'S NOT: Biased Nihilist There's no longer putting off the inevitable. The Biased Nihilist has finally graced this year's competition with his presence to be coined as this week's WHO'S-NOT-HOT-HANDICAPPER. After this past weekend, the Nihilist is in the cellar of the point standings by his lonesome. With only three points garnered on the season, the Nihilist has his work cut out for himself for the rest of this season if he wants to seriously contend for this year's overall Bookie Challenge championship. Entering this past weekend, the Nihilist had already laid two goose eggs in the first-four weeks of this season. And although he needed the Packers (-1) to cover over the Raiders on this past Monday night to hit a critical parlay hit, he nonetheless entered the Monday night game facing a league-leading third goose-egg outing after having missed both of his best bets earlier in the weekend. As is already known, the Packers didn't come through for the Nihilist. However, the self-proclaimed "Greatest Handicapper of All Time" evaded the goose-egg outing after he correctly chose the Raiders to score 17 points, thus he luckily dodged another scoreless after he connected on his first one-point exact-score hit of the season. Regardless, the two best-bet losses over the weekend dropped the Nihilist's overall best-bet record on the season to a shameful 2-7-1 mark, of which the disgraceful numbers tied him with the Hall of Fame City Kid for the worst best-bet tally of the season. The question that has to be asked now as it concerns the Nihilist's poor start to this season is whether he can weather the storm and make a comeback. But if past history has anything to say about it, the Biased Nihilist is the one handicapper, and the ONLY one, who has already proven he is highly capable of pulling off the improbable feat. To start off with, no matter how bad the start to this season has been for the Nihlist, it's not his worst-ever start to a competition, not even close. In Challenge year #8, the Corozal Kid (aka the Nihilist) started that year's competition by sandwiching a one-point outing inbetween two goose egg weekends after the first-three weeks of that season. Then, in the ensuing weekend, week #4, the Nihilist inexplicably botched his outing in what has to be deemed as the worst posting blunder of his Challenge career, and with it being almost as comical as it was negligent. Specifically, the Nihilist had his weekly picks ready to post and was just waiting for Sunday's posting deadline to draw nearer before submitting his weekly selections. However, unbeknownst to the Nihilist, the battery of his wall clock, a decorative one which hung on a nearby wall that the Nihilist frequently peered at to keep track of the posting deadlines--well--it died! It ran out of juice with the clock displaying the time of 12:12 pm, just 18 minutes before that Sunday's posting deadline. Subsequently, the Nihilist was wondering why everybody else had posted their weekly picks a lot earlier than normal before that Sunday's posting deadline. In any event, the Nihilist submitted his weekly picks, and after again looking at the wall clock, he figured, wrongly, that he had posted them in plenty of time. But about five minutes later, his cell phone rang and it was 7mick7, who proceeded to inform the Nihilist that his selections were posted 30 or so minutes after the posting deadline, and as such, he disqualified the Nihilist's weekly selections. Afterward, in a strange twist of fate, it turned out that the Nihilist's disqualified selections would have resulted in a PERFECTA outing if he had only posted them in time. And so after starting out the first-four weeks of Challenge year #8 with just one point, the Nihilist added more salt to the wound after plopping down consecutive goose eggs in the ensuing two weeks (wks' #5 & #6). As a consequence, after the first-six weeks of Challenge year #8, the Nihilist, out of 23 handicappers for that season, resided in dead-last place with just one point scored on the season, and worse, was 22 points away from that year's top seed in the the standings and also 14 points from the fourth seed, not to mention that he owned a league-worst 1-8-1 best bet record for an ungodly .111 win percentage. But then, after week #6, the Nihilist produced the greatest regular-season comeback in the history of the Bookie Challenge competition after he registered back-to-back PERFECTA outings in weeks' #7 and #8. Incredibly, he would go on to hit two more 6-point parlays, with one of them ending in his third PERFECTA outing of the season. But above all, as extraordinary as it sounds, the Nihilist went on to win that year's Corozal divisional championship! So even though the Nihilist's handicapping numbers for this season have so far appeared to be grossly off-kilter, the fact is that he's been a couple of games removed from being at or near the top of this year's point standings, which becomes quite clear when looking at his near-misses of all his parlay combinations this season. Notably, of all the handicappers who have not hit 6-point parlay winners this season, the Nihilist is the only one who has missed just one winning parlay game for every parlay combo this season, of which is obviously the reason why he is presently tied with catman23, DawgPound, and Hall of Fame City Kid for the most parlay wins, 10 in all, within their respective parlay combinations on the season. In sum, the Corozal Kid is the present cellar-dweller of this year's competition, but if there's one handicapper who can turn his season around and get back into serious contention for a Bookie Challenge championship, it's the Biased Nihilist, or at least Challenge history says as much. |
POINT STANDINGS (Thru Week #5) | ||||||||||||||
Total Pts | Participant | Best Bet Record | Win % | Weeks Won | Exact Scores 5pt--------2pt- -------1pt |
Propositional Pts | 3pt Parlays | 6pt Parlays | Perfectas | Goose Eggs | Golden Goose-Eggs | Wins in Parlays | ||
18 pts | catman23* | 5-5-0 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 |
16 pts | DawgPound | 4-6-0 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
15 pts | TCU* | 8-2-0 | .800 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
15 pts | DIRTYBIRDS | 2-5-1 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
12 pts | dbucc* | 4-5-1 | .444 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
11 pts | Theopholis | 5-4-0 | .556 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
10 pts | jcvike28* | 3-7-0 | .300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 |
9 pts | HOF City Kid* | 2-7-1 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
8 pts | Blitzkrieg | 7-2-1 | .778 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
6 pts | moemonie* | 3-7-0 | .300 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
5 pts | Vikings17* | 4-5-1 | .444 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
4 pts | Driveline* | 4-6-0 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 |
4 pts | 7mick7* | 4-5-1 | .444 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
3 pts | B.Nihilist* | 2-7-1 | .222 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
Statistics in BOLD denotes participant leads league in statistical category. | ||||||||||||||
*Asterisk next to participant's name denotes participant's Latinum has been received. Total projected jackpot: $560 (Current jackpot: $400). Projected split of jackpot: 1st place $420 (BC Champion); 2nd place $100 (Runner up to BC Champion), 3rd place $40 (Regular Season Champion) |
INDIVIDUAL PICKS (Week #5) (Note: Participants are listed in order in which they posted their picks. *Asterisk in WIP column denotes a 3-pt parlay attempt) |
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Participant | Best Bets | Parlay | Exact Scores | Propositional Picks | Results >>>>> | Total Pts | W-L-T | Week Won | Exact-Scores 5pt-- --2pt----1pt |
Propositional Pts | 3pt parlay | 6pt parlay | Perfecta | Goose Egg | Golden Goose-Egg | Wins in Parlay | ||
DawgPound | Wash-6-L Blt/Pit-U38-W |
Phi-5-W KC-4-W Mia-11-W |
Was 24-17 LV 20-17 |
N/A | >>>>> | 7 pts | 1-1-0 | 6pt | W-3/3 | |||||||||
TCU | Mia-10½-W KC-4-W |
Blt/Pit-U38-W Phi/LAR-O51-L Cin/Ari-O45-W |
Was 31-13 GB 27-14 |
N/A | >>>>> | 2 pts | 2-0-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
Driveline | Buff-5½-L SF-3½-W |
NE+1-L NYJ+2-W Phil-5-W |
Was 24-13 GB 23-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
Vikings17 | Wash-6-L Chi/Was-O44½-W |
Mia-11-W LV+1-W KC/Min-O53-L |
Was 34-27 LV 23-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
Catman23 | Cin-3-W NYJ+1½-W |
Buff-6-L Tenn-3-L Det-10-W |
Was 17-7 GB 24-14 |
N/A | >>>>> | 2 pts | 2-0-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
B.Nihilist | Buff-5½-L Tenn-2½-L |
Cin-3-W NYJ+2-W GB-1-L |
Was 27-24 GB 27-17-W |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 0-2-0 | 1pt | PP-1pt | 2/3 | ||||||||
7mick7 | KC/Min-O52½-L Balt-4-L |
Atl-2-L KC-4-W Den-2-L |
Was 24-17 GB 24-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 0 pts | 0-2-0 | GE | 1/3 | |||||||||
moemonie | Chi+6-W Chi/Was-U44½-L |
Mia-11-W LAR+5-L NO/NE-U40-W |
Chi 23-20-W GB 24-17-W |
N/A | >>>>> | 3 pts | 1-1-0 | 2x 1pt |
PP-2pts | 2/3 | ||||||||
Theopholis | Mia-10½-W LAR+5-L |
NYJ+2-W Minn+4-L Buff-6-L |
Was 24-20 GB 24-22 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
dbucc | Wash-6-L Mia-10½-W |
Buff-6-L Jax/Buf-O49-L KC-4-W |
Was 27-20 LV 23-21 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
Blitzkrieg | Buff-5½-L Mia-10½-W |
NE+1-L NYJ+2-W KC-4-W |
xs GB 24-23 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
DIRTYBIRDS | Balt-4-L Hou+2-T |
Ind+3-W Jax+6-W NYJ+2-W |
xs GB 21-17-W |
N/A | >>>>> | 7 pts | 0-1-1 | 1pt | PP-1pt | 6pt | W-3/3 | |||||||
jcvike28 | Tenn-2½-L KC-4-W |
NE+1-L NYJ+2-W SF-3-W |
xs LV 24-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
HOF City Kid | Cin-3-W Mia-10½-W |
Ind+3-W Cin-3-W Den-2-L |
xs GB 27-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 2 pts | 2-0-0 | 2/3* |
FINALS | CHI 40 WASH 20 |
JAX 25 BUFF 20 |
ATL 21 HOU 19 |
DET 42 CAR 24 |
IND 23 TENN 16 |
MIA 31 NYG 16 |
NO 34 NE 0 |
PITTS 17 BALT 10 |
CIN 34 ARI 20 |
PHIL 23 LAR 14 |
NYJ 31 DEN 21 |
KC 27 MINN 20 |
SF 42 DALL 10 |
LV 17 GB 13 |
PREVIOUS REVIEWS | Preseason Special | Wk #1 | Wk #2 | Wk #3 | Wk #4 |