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Bookie Challenge WEEKLY REVIEW September 27, 2023 | Issue #4 | Week #3 |
Parts Unknown (DP--Disassociated Press): Week #3 of the 13th annual Bookie Challenge competition didn't see many handicappers from the Challenge field excel in their respective outings over the past weekend, but for the two main participants who did weather the storm, their respective handicapping performances were critical game-changers to their respective starts to the inchoate BC season. Leading the way this past weekend was dbucc, aka the Joker, who landed his first 6-point parlay hit of the season and also added a one-point exact score winner to register a 7-point outing, of which the scoring total was good enough to edge out rookie Hall of Fame City Kid for a critical week-won. Speaking of the aforementioned greenhorn, the newcomer finally got off the schneid and scored his first points of his Bookie Challenge debut after he connected on his first-ever 6-point parlay winner to finish his weekend with six total points. The parlay hits by both dbucc and HOF City Kid boosted each handicapper into contention for the battle to win one of the four-top seeds in the point standings at this year's all-important divisional seeding. In the case of dbucc, who this past weekend tallied his 8th overall points for the season, he ended his weekend tied with DIRTYBIRDS for the last top-seed slot in the standings, but the Joker technically finished the weekend in fifth place after losing the first regular-season tiebreaker edge of the competition to the Birdman (most best-bet wins--2 vs 1). As it pertains to the "Colt .45 Shooter", as HOF City Kid is known by his coined Bookie Challenge moniker, the rookie, with six total points accrued for the season, concluded his weekend in sixth place overall and just two points behind fifth-place dbucc. The only other handicapper of note who had a respectable outing this past weekend was Blitzkrieg, who connected on both of his best bets to finish his outing with four total points on the season and in seventh place in the Challenge point standings. As it concerned the rest of the participants from the Challenge field over the past weekend, just like kissing one's red-headed stepsister, they all had break-even outings after each split their respective best bets. The lone exception was moemonie, who goosed egged his outing. Of the 10 overall handicappers who each respectively eked out one point for their respective outings this past weekend, catman23 was one of them. However, the Tomcat from Handicapping Alley, despite failing to set an all-time record for nailing down the most 6-point parlay winners to start off a Challenge competition, he nonetheless maintained his four-point lead atop this year's early point standings. All in all, after this past weekend's handicapping action played out, the top-four front-runners presently in the standings are catman23 (14 pts), TCU (10 pts), DawgPound (9 pts) and officially DIRTYBIRDS (8 pts). Of course, the big winners over the weekend were dbucc and HOF City Kid, both of whom easily stole the show by recording season-turning 6-pt parlay hits. But in what turned out to be a statistical anamoly, both handicappers were this past weekend's top scorers despite both ending the weekend with the worst best-bet records in the league, with dbucc finishing the weekend with a combined best-bet tally of 1-4-1 (.200 win %) for the season, while the City Kid concluded his outing with a horrific best-bet record of 0-5-1 (.000 win %) to start off his three-week greenhorn season. For dbucc, his poor best-bet start to this season is disturbingly out of character. Case in point, the Joker, now handicapping his 10th Bookie Challenge season, did not have a losing regular-season best-bet outing for his initial eight seasons, but that impressive streak was snapped in last year's regular season after he posted an 18-19-1 best-bet tally, which factored out to a subpar .486 winning percentage. For the majority of his Challenge career, dbucc's bread-and-butter handicapping regimen was his outstanding ability to consistently connect on best-bet winners, but that prowess has since lost its handicapping efficacy over the span of last year's competition and through the start of the first-three weeks of this year's handicapping campaign. To his credit, however, the Joker still entered this year's competition as the all-time leader for the league's top best-bet winning percentages for the regular season (.598), for the postseason (.536), and for the regular season and postseason combined (.578). But despite his lowly best-bet marks to start off this season, dbucc connected on a crucial 6-point parlay hit this past weekend, his 13th all-time for regular-season handicapping, and the parlay winner signified the earliest dbucc has ever registered a 6-point parlay hit throughout his 10 years in the competition. Previously, dbucc's earliest parlay winner to start off a competition was the 5th weekend of a contest, of which he accomplished twice before (Challenge yrs' #12 and #11). Not for nothing, but if dbucc resurrects his best-bet mojo and manages to connect on a few more 6-point parlay hits, the Challenge field had better watch out because when the Joker is on his handiccaping A-game it's no laughing matter. Lest anyone forgets, dbucc took it to the house just two seasons ago, in Challenge year #11, of which he had a storybook season that saw him take down his first-ever Bookie Challenge championship. It should be needless to say that the Hall of Fame City Kid, or the second rookie entrant in this year's competition, has yet to prove he has the handicapping acumen to challenge the battle-tested veterans of the Bookie Challenge competition. In fact, after his hapless first-two weeks of handicapping his first-ever Challenge contest, his successive goose eggs to begin his rookie debut demonstrated the complete opposite, as in he appeared to be an unsettled handicapper whose handicapping game was a discombobulated nightmare. Entering this past weekend, and after going scoreless in the previous two weeks, he was at the ignominious brink of becoming the first rookie in the history of the Bookie Challenge to not register a point to start out the first-three weeks of a competition. And after the HOF City Kid missed both of his best bets in the early slate of games on this past Sunday--Vikings (+1) vs Chargers and the over in the game between the Titans and Browns (O40)--it looked as if he indeed was going to go down in history for having the worst three-week start to a rookie campaign. However, in that earlier slate of games from Sunday, the Kid did manage to connect on two of his three parlay selections--the Lions (-3) over the Falcons and the Browns (-3) over the Titans--and headed into Sunday night's game just needing the Steelers (+3) to cover against the Raiders to dodge a horrendous three-week fate. Subsequently, and to the delight of the City Kid, the Steelers' outright victory over the Raiders, in one fell swoop, transformed his start to his first Bookie Challenge competition from an inauspicious handicapping disaster into a conspicuous handicapping revival. However, even though the "Colt .45 Shooter" averted the worst all-tme start to a rookie season, he did manage to still set an all-time dreadful record but to a lesser degree, and one that comes with an ambiguous asterisk, so to speak. Specifically, although the HOF City Kid nailed down a 6-point parlay winner to snap his two-week goose-egg streak, he nonetheless became the first handicapper in the history of the competition, whether a veteran or rookie, to connect on a first and early-season 6-point parlay winner but without having recorded a best-bet winner on the season (the Kid ended past weekend with BB record of 0-5-1 with win% of .000). Regardless of the paradoxical twist to the City Kid's outing from this past weekend, what's more important is the praise-worthy handicapping magnanimity that he exhibited, meaning he showed some grit and resilency after he rebounded from his deplorable two-week start to the season. In comparison, there has been a handful of past Bookie Challenge rookies who lacked the intestinal fortitude to stay the course after having atrocious starts to their respective seasons. For example, just last season, rookie braves72492, who scored one point in week #1 of his rookie debut, then went AWOL for weeks' #2 and #3, and subsequently followed that two-week hiatus with a goose egg in week #4 and a golden goose egg in week #5. Shamefully he bailed from the competition in week #6, and worse yet, he didn't even have the scrupulous dignity to honor his ante for the season. But the Hall of Fame City Kid has proven he has that Rudy Ruettiger-esque resolve, that bend-but-don't-break spirit that is a critical mind-set needed to compete in the Bookie Challenge competition, of which is an attribute that the majority of the handicappers from the Challenge field possess. That special characteristic is undoubtedly what the City Kid brings to the table, to the competition, and this past weekend he reaped the benefits of that never-say-die mentality. More to the point, after finally getting on the board this past weekend, the Colt .45 Shooter vacated the cellar of the point standings and leap-frogged over eight handicappers. Similiarly, dbucc did the same thing this past weekend by going from third-to-last in the standings and jumping over seven handicappers to finish the his weekend in a virtual tie for the fourth and final top seed. And don't look now, but the rookie upstart, that is to mean, the Hall of Fame City Kid, is presently in a better place in the point standings than some of the league's historically top-notch handicappers, the likes of the Biased Nihilist, Driveline, jcvike28, Blitzkrieg, and moemonie. If anything, if there is one takeaway from this past weekend that concerns the HOF City Kid, it is that from all appearances--the Bookie Challenge looks as if it has found a keeper, one that is almost certain to make some waves in his future of handicapping the Challenge competition. In sum, only three weekends of this young Bookie Challenge competition are in the books. Therefore, as many veterans of the competition already know, the Bookie Challenge is a long and ardous competition and that on any given weekend the fortunes of ANY handicapper can quickly change, so imagine if a handicapper gets hot for two or three weekends? With that in mind, this season is barely underway and all handicappers in the league, especially those presently at the bottom tier of the standings, still have chances to impose their respectives wills in this year's competition and go on to produce some spectacular performances. In other words, "it ain't over until it's over." |
WEEKLY ODDS AND ENDS: THE HANDICAPPING HODGEPODGE |
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CHALLENGE FIELD: WEEKLY COMBINED STATS AND HAPPENINGS | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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WHO'S HOT AND WHO'S NOT |
WHO'S HOT: dbucc It has already been well documented how dbucc's sterling best-bet efficiency over the span of his first-nine years of his Challenge career has not been able to be approached nor touched by any other handicapper in the history of the Bookie Challenge competition. But it wasn't until dbucc's Cinderella season of Challenge year #11 that he finally began to complement his incredible best-bet game with a decent amount of 6-point parlay winners, of which he connected on four 6-point parlay hits in that magical season of Challenge year #11, the year that turned out to be his breakout season of his Challenge career. In the postseason of that extraordinary season, the Joker nearly tied Jobadahut's all-time record for the top best-bet record for a Challenge playoffs after he registered a best-bet tally of 11-2-0, for an unbelievable .846 win percentage that fell just short of Jobadahut's win percentage of .916, of which was produced after Joba unleashed an otherwordly 11-1-1 best-bet performance in that year's postseason. But the difference between the two playoff outings was that Joba entered that year's postseason as a lowly at-large participant, whereas dbucc went into that year's playoffs as a divisional champion. This past weekend, as already known, dbucc landed a 6-point parlay winner despite losing both of his best bets. However, he was ultimately able to complement the parlay winner with a one-point exact-score winner, of which the exact-score hit enabled him to register a week-won over Hall of Fame City Kid. Interestingly, the 6-point parlay hit and exact-score winner from this past weekend enabled the Joker to become only the second handicapper in the history of the competition to record a 6-point parlay winner and an exact-score hit on the same weekend of a Challenge competition, albeit that the exact-score hit came courtesy of predicting the exact score of just one team and was worth only one-point. As such, dbucc's tying of the record is somewhat watered down when considering that moemonie, the only other handicapper to achieve the feat (6-pt parlay hit & exact-score on same weekend) had produced the feat twice in back-to-back seasons (Challenge yrs' #6 and #5). However, back then moemonie hit the combined parlay hits and the exact-scores in the two aforementoned seasons but had the winning teams of the respective two games in question, thus he won five extra points for the respective predictions. For the record, in Challenge year #6, moemonie produced what has come to be known as a SUPER PERFECTA, of which entailed him winning every possible selection for the weekend and pounding out the highest point-total possible for a single outing (13 points). In other words, on week #11 of Challenge year #6, moemonie won both best bets, connected on a 6-point parlay combo, and correctly predicted a 5-point exact-score. But that was then and this is now, and after an extra exact-score game was implemented in last year's competition for a weekly outing, a handicapper now stood to theoretically win a total of 18 points for a weekend, that is, if he miraculously got lucky enough. And before anybody gets to thinking that it will never happen, meaning a weekend in which a handicapper lands a PERFECTA outing and connects on the two weekly exact-scores of the 5-point variety, just remember what happened last season, when nobody ever imagined that the newly incorporated propositional selection of coming closest to predicting the correct team of the longest touchdown for the game and also correctly selecting the exact yardage of the TD was ever going to be pulled off. Granted, the normal three points for coming closest to selecting the right team and also coming closest to the exact yardage of the longest TD was going to be awarded to somebody, but a five-point bonus stood to be awarded if a handicapper also got the exact-yardage right. For starters, coming closest to predicting the exact yardage and the right team of a game's longest TD is not overly difficult, especially when your competing against just 13 or 14 handicappers, but to exactly predict the yardage of a longest touchdown is a lot more difficult and nearly impossible. And yet, DawgPound pulled it off in the Super Bowl round of last year's competition after he correctly and unbelievably predicted that Philly would not only produce the longest TD of last year's Super Bowl but also that the TD would be a 45-yard score, of which he nailed on the head and won eight points for the amazing prop pick. For the record, DawgPound was able to win the second-place prize of the Latinum jackpot over Blitzkrieg because of his stunning propositional prediction. In any event, winning any point is critical in the Bookie Challenge competition, and just as critical is avoiding goose egg and golden goose egg weekends, because one never knows if one point will make a difference in winning a top-four seed at a divisional seeding, or a divisional title at the end of a regular season, or even a regular-season championship, as happened last year when Driveline edged out moemonie to capture last season's overall regular-season title by one point (46 pts vs 45 pts). So this past weekend, when dbucc won that extra point for exactly predicting Philly to score 30 points, it was just as significant as winning one of his best bets, not to forget he registered a week-won because of that one-point exact-score prediction. For that matter, a one-point exact-score winner is also the reason why Vikings17, with only three points tallied on the season, is presently ahead of the Nihilist, 7mick7, moemonie, and jcvike, in the point standings. So yeah, as a 10-year veteran of the Challenge competition, dbucc is fully aware that each point counts and will take them any way he can, even if it's just one point won for correctly picking the exact-score of only one team of an exact-score game. If one can believe it, the week-won that the Joker eked out this past weekend was only his 5th of his Challenge career, while the 6-point parlay hit enabled him to garner his 8th point of the season and propelled him to his best-ever start after three weeks of a competition. And to think, dbucc's best-bet game is presently off-kilter, which makes for a scary thought to think where he would be now in the point standings if not for the best-bet slump. Moreover, because dbucc has lately been bereft of best-bet winners, it made his parlay hit from this past weekend that much more crucial of winner. But one game within his combo almost ruined his successful parlay hit. Specifically, he had selected the Saints (+2) to cover on the road against the Packers. For most of the game, the Saints were comfortably covering the spread and took a 17-0 lead into the 4th quarter, but a furious rally by the Packers made for some tense moments toward the end of the game for dbucc, especially late in the game when the Pack took a one point lead. What's more, there's no telling how many more points the Packers would have scored if their drive had not stalled at the Saints' 13-yard line because the Packers failed to convert a 4th-down-and-2-yards to start the 4th quarter. Lastly, the week-won that dbucc snagged over the weekend was a critical one, mainly because it is the third-best regular-season tiebreaker behind the first tiebreaker, most best-bets won, and the second tiebreaker, most parlay wins within one's combined parlay combinations on the season. But knowing dbucc, he's hoping that he won't need tiebreakers to win a second overall Bookie Challenge championship. And the possibility of that coming to fruition is no joke. |
WHO'S NOT: Not applicable for week #3 After this past weekend, there is no valid case to single out any handicapper for being dishonored as this week's WHO'S-NOT-HOT HANDICAPPER. At the present, four handicappers--the Biased Nihilist, 7mick7, moemonie, and jcvike28--are all tied in the bottom tier of the point standings with two points apiece, and only tiebreakers currently determine their technical slots in the lower echelon of the point standings. |
POINT STANDINGS (Thru Week #3) | ||||||||||||||
Total Pts | Participant | Best Bet Record | Win % | Weeks Won | Exact Scores 5pt--------2pt- -------1pt |
Propositional Pts | 3pt Parlays | 6pt Parlays | Perfectas | Goose Eggs | Golden Goose-Eggs | Wins in Parlays | ||
14 Pts | catman23* | 2-4-0 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 |
10 Pts | TCU* | 4-2-0 | .667 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
9 Pts | DawgPound | 3-3-0 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
8 Pts | DIRTYBIRDS | 2-4-0 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
8 Pts | dbucc* | 1-4-1 | .200 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
6 Pts | HOF City Kid* | 0-5-1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
4 Pts | Blitzkrieg | 4-1-1 | .800 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
3 Pts | Driveline* | 4-4-0 | .500 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
3 Pts | Theopholis | 3-2-0 | .600 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
3 Pts | Vikings17* | 2-3-1 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
2 Pts | B.Nihilist* | 2-3-1 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
2 Pts | 7mick7* | 2-3-1 | .400 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
2 Pts | moemonie* | 2-4-0 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
2 Pts | jcvike28* | 2-4-0 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 |
Statistics in BOLD denotes participant leads league in statistical category. | ||||||||||||||
*Asterisk next to participant's name denotes participant's Latinum has been received. Total projected jackpot: $560 (Current jackpot: $400). Projected split of jackpot: 1st place $420 (BC Champion); 2nd place $100 (Runner up to BC Champion), 3rd place $40 (Regular Season Champion) |
INDIVIDUAL PICKS (Week #3) (Note: Participants are listed in order in which they posted their picks. *Asterisk in WIP column denotes a 3-pt parlay attempt) |
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Participant | Best Bets | Parlay | Exact Scores | Propositional Picks | Results >>>>> | Total Pts | W-L-T | Week Won | Exact-Scores 5pt-- --2pt----1pt |
Propositional Pts | 3pt parlay | 6pt parlay | Perfecta | Goose Egg | Golden Goose-Egg | Wins in Parlay | ||
jcvike28 | Tenn+3½-L Mia-6½-W |
Minn+2-L Sea-6-W KC-13-W |
SF 31-13 LAR 24-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
dbucc | NYG+10½-L NYG/SF-O44-L |
NE/NYJ-U37-W NO+2-W Sea-6-W |
SF 30-24-W Cin 30-27 |
N/A | >>>>> | 7 pts | 0-2-0 | WW | 1pt | PP-1pt | 6pt | W-3/3 | ||||||
B.Nihilist | SF-10½-W Tenn+3½-L |
NE-3-W Buff-7-W Car+6-L |
SF 31-17 LAR 23-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
Driveline | Minn+1½-L NE-2½-W |
Cle-3-W Den+7-L GB-2-L |
SF 34-10 LAR 23-17 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
HOF City Kid | Minn+1½-L Ten/Cle-O40-L |
Det-3-W Pitts+3-W Cle-3-W |
SF 27-16 Cin 27-17 |
N/A | >>>>> | 6 pts | 0-2-0 | 6pt | W-3/3 | |||||||||
Vikings17 | SF-10½-W NYG/SF-O44-L |
LAC/Min-O54-L Phi/TB-O46-L Wash+7-L |
SF 33-17 LAR 27-24 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 0/3 | ||||||||||
7mick7 | Minn+1½-L Det-3½-W |
Jax-9-L NO/GB-U43-W Buf/Was-O44-L |
SF 31-24 Cin 30-17 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
moemonie | Tenn+3½-L LV-2½-L |
GB-2-L Hou+9-W Ari+13-W |
SF 38-10 LAR 24-23 |
N/A | >>>>> | 0 pts | 0-2-0 | GE | 2/3 | |||||||||
Blitzkrieg | SF-10½-W Sea-6-W |
Mia-7-W Minn+2-L KC-13-W |
SF 27-20 LAR 24-21 |
N/A | >>>>> | 2 pts | 2-0-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
TCU | Buff-6½-W TB+5-L |
Dall-13-L KC-13-W Phi/TB-O46-L |
xs Cin 26-17 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
DawgPound | Cle-3½-W Jax-8½-L |
Dall-13-L Balt-7-L KC-13-W |
xs Cin 24-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 1/3 | ||||||||||
catman23 | Jax-8½-L NE-2½-W |
Mia-7-W Dall-13-L KC-13-W |
xs LAR 17-10 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
DIRTYBIRDS | Det-3½-W Dall-12½-L |
Sea-6-W Mia-7-W Jax-9-L |
xs LAR 21-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
Theopholis | Ten/Cle-O40-L Hou+9-W |
Wash+7-L Den+7-L GB-2-L |
xs Cin 24-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 0/3 |
FINALS | SF 30 NYG 12 |
LAC 28 MINN 24 |
CLE 27 TENN 3 |
HOU 37 JAX 17 |
NE 15 NYJ 10 |
GB 18 N0 17 |
MIA 70 DEN 20 |
BUFF 37 WASH 3 |
DET 20 ATL 6 |
IND 22 BALT 19 |
SEA 37 CAR 27 |
ARI 28 DALL 16 |
KC 41 CHI 10 |
PITTS 23 LV 18 |
PHIL 25 TB 11 |
CIN 19 LAR 16 |
PREVIOUS REVIEWS | Preseason Special | Wk #1 | Wk #2 |