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Bookie Challenge WEEKLY REVIEW October 5, 2023 | Issue #5 | Week #4 |
Parts Unknown (DP--Disassociated Press): It was just mentioned in last week's weekly review how anything can happen in one weekend of a Bookie Challenge competition, and how all handicappers in the league, especially those within the bottom tier of a point standings, can quickly turn around their fortunes and get into serious contention to win an overall Bookie Challenge championship. This past weekend, two handicappers, Theopholis and jcvike28, did just that after each handicapper produced 7-point outings to inject new life in their respective seasons. In particular, Theopholis rose five slots in the point standings after his 7-pt performance, rising from 9th place to 4th place and ending his weekend with the 4th top seed. More impressively, jcvike's 7-pt outing enabled him to vacate the cellar of the point standings, soaring over seven slots and ascending from 14th place to 7th place. He finished his weekend tied with DawgPound with nine total points and just one point behind from gaining the 4th and final top seed. This past weekend ended with catman23 still hanging on to the overall lead of the point standings, but after just scoring two points for his outing, he saw TCU cut his lead down to three points after TCU registered a 3-point outing. After this past weekend, catman maintained his overall top seed, TCU kept his second top seed, and after Theopholis cracked into the top seeds this past weekend, he finished with the fourth top seed. The third top seed of the standings belongs to dbucc, who like Theo this past weekend, was able to snatch a top seed for the first time this season. As a result of dbucc and Theo acquiring their respective top seeds, the previous holders of those top seeds, both DawgPound and DIRTYBIRDS, were both bumped out of their top seeds and dropped down in the standings, with the Dawg finishing his weekend in fifth place and the Birdman sliding down to seventh place after failing to post his weekly picks. Overall, apart from Theo and jcvike hitting respective parlay winners this past weekend, the Challenge field--once again--had a dismal outing after concluding its weekend with a fourth-straight losing best-bet record to start out its season. Incredibly, however, the field saw seven of its handicappers culminate their respective outings with exact-score hits worth one point apiece after they each connected on the exact scores of just one team. Four of the exact-score hits took place in Thursday night's game after four participants--dbucc, TCU, moemonie, and HOF City Kid--correctly predicted Green Bay to score 20 points, while three handicappers--catman23, jcvike28, and Blitzkrieg--correctly picked Seattle to score 24 points in the Monday night game. Interestingly, all the one-point exact-score wins had a substantial effect upon the point standings. To begin with, TCU ended his outing with three points beause of his exact-score hit, and if catman didn't add his exact-score hit to his one best-bet winner, TCU would have sliced his lead to two points instead of three. Additionally, if dbucc had not complemented his two best-bet winners with his one-point exact-score win, he would have ended in a tie for third place and for the third top seed with Theopholis at 10 points apiece, of which dbucc would have lost the tiebreaker with Theo and would have finished the weekend with the fourth top seed. Also, if Blitzkrieg had not hit his exact-score winner and didn't tack it on to his two best-bet winners, he would not have tied the City Kid for 7th place in the standings. But he did and Blitzkrieg easily won the tiebreaker over the City Kid by virtue of more best-bet wins (7 wins vs 0 wins). By the way, Hall of Fame City Kid wouldn't have ended the weekend tied with Blitzkrieg if not for him also nailing a one-point exact-score winner, or his only point of his outing. What's more, after moemonie hit his one-point exact-score hit on this past Thursday night but didn't score another point for the rest of the weekend, he was fortunate enough to join the City Kid in escaping the weekend without plopping down a goose egg. But the most significant one-point exact-score hit from this past weekend, one that detrimentally affected Theopholis, was produced by jcvike. His 7-point outing matched Theo's scoring output, but more importantly, it denied Theopholis to register a week-won, which is the third-best tiebreaker in the regular season behind most best-bet winners (1st tiebreak) and most parlay wins within one's combined parlay combinations on the season (2nd tiebreak). In the case of jcvike, his parlay hit from this past weekend was his 19th all-time for regular-season handicapping, but overall it was his 23rd all-time 6-point parlay hit for the regular season and postseason combined (jcvike has four postseason 6-pt parlay hits). But in what has to be deemed as a highly amazing coincidence, this past weekend jcvike snapped a parlay drought of 22 weeks in a row and became the third handicapper, with the other two being DIRTYBIRDS and TCU, to each end parlay droughts of EXACTLY 22 consecutive weeks. As it concerns Theopholis, his parlay hit from this past weekend was his 12th all-time for regular season handicapping. But neither jcvike nor Theo would have connected on their respective 6-point parlay winners if not for a late interception in the closing minutes of the game between the Raiders and the Chargers, of which the Bolts were 6-point favorites. For starters, as is usually the case, a participant needs a little bit of good luck to hit a parlay combo, and the parlay winners by Theopholis and jcvike this past weekend were no exceptions. Theo's parlay combination consisted of the Texans (+3) versus the Steelers, the Jets (+10) vs the Chiefs, and the Chargers (-6) versus the Raiders. He was super lucky when Patrick Mahomes, who was headed for a sure TD in the closing seconds against the Jets, slid down at the Jets' one-yard line. Otherwise, the TD would have resulted in a pointspread loss. Jcvike's parlay combo consisted of the Bills (-3) versus the Dolphins, the Rams (+2) versus the Colts, and the Chargers (-6) versus the Raiders. The Rams luckily came through for jcvike after they scored a TD in overtime. But it was the Chargers who saved the day for both handicappers. The Chargers saw the Raiders slice their 24-10 early 4th quarter lead to 24-17, which was a score that covered the spread by just one point. But in the closing minutes of the game, the Raiders converted a 4th-down-and-10 from the Chargers 22 yard line and then faced a 1st-and-goal at the Chargers' 3 yard line. It looked like curtains for both Theopholis and jcvike, but the Raiders' backup QB, Adian O'Connell, threw an interception that was caught by Asante Samuel at the Chargers' 3 yard line to not only preserve the Chargers' 24-17 victory but also the parlay hits by Theo and jcvike. |
WEEKLY ODDS AND ENDS: THE HANDICAPPING HODGEPODGE |
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CHALLENGE FIELD: WEEKLY COMBINED STATS AND HAPPENINGS | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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WHO'S HOT AND WHO'S NOT |
WHO'S HOT: dbucc The Bookie Challenge field had better take notice that dbucc has recently tapped into his best-best A-game, and after already knocking down a 6-point parlay hit this season, he is now showing signs of possibly repeating his magical season from two years ago, or from Bookie Challenge year #11 when he won the overall Bookie Challenge championship. Also worth noting after this past weekend is that he became the first handicapper in the history of the Bookie Challenge to hit back-to-back exact-score hits, albeit that they were of the one-point variety. So it shouldn't come as a surprise that the Joker is being attributed as this week's WHO'S-HOT-HANDICAPPER, and mainly because no other handicapper in the league has scored more points over the last-two weeks as has dbucc, who has accrued 10 overall points. If he's really back to his championsship form from two years ago, because only time will tell, the Challenge field might start making plans to hide the women and children because it ain't going to pretty if indeed dbucc begins to take charge of this year's competition. |
WHO'S NOT: DIRTYBIRDS Cases can be made for both moemonie and the Biased Nihilist to be selected as this week's WHO'S-NOT-HOT-HANDICAPPER, as both handicappers ended their respective weekends as the bottom-two handicappers in the standings. However, when a handicapper fails to post his weekly set of picks, he is almost always guaranteed to appear in this segment of the weekly reviews. This past weekend DIRTYBIRDS did not submit his picks and it cost him dearly. Entering this past weekend, DIRTYBIRDS held the 4th and last top seed in the point standings, but only because of a tiebreaker over dbucc. Both handicappers had entered the past weekend tied with eight points apiece. But after this past weekend's handicapping action went into the books, and after dbucc registered a 3-pt outing and Theopholis recorded a 7-pt outing, an AWOL DIRTYBIRDS dropped down three slots in the point standings, and fell from 4th place down to 7th place. Worse, his plunge knocked him out from an all-important top-seed in the point standings. For a handicapper who needed every point possible over the first-four weekends of this season to maintain the top-third seed he had earned on the strength of an opening-week 6-pt parlay hit, the Birdman has not been paying attention and has not been totally in tune to what's going on in the Bookie Challenge. Specifically, from the onset of this competition he is the only handicapper in the league who has not submitted an exact-score selection for the Thursday night games. Now in his 5th year of handicapping the Bookie Challenge, the youngest handicapper in the competition has been oblivious to the new scoring opportunities of the exact-score picks that were implemented this season. With that in mind, he's handicapping this year's competition as if he were a rookie. What a damn shame! |
POINT STANDINGS (Thru Week #4) | ||||||||||||||
Total Pts | Participant | Best Bet Record | Win % | Weeks Won | Exact Scores 5pt--------2pt- -------1pt |
Propositional Pts | 3pt Parlays | 6pt Parlays | Perfectas | Goose Eggs | Golden Goose-Eggs | Wins in Parlays | ||
16 pts | catman23* | 3-5-0 | .375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 |
13 pts | TCU* | 6-2-0 | .750 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
11 pts | dbucc* | 3-4-1 | .429 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
10 pts | Theopholis | 4-3-0 | .571 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
9 pts | DawgPound | 3-5-0 | .375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
9 pts | jcvike28* | 2-6-0 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 |
8 pts | DIRTYBIRDS | 2-4-0 | .333 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 |
7 pts | Blitzkrieg | 6-1-1 | .857 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
7 pts | HOF City Kid* | 0-7-1 | .000 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
4 pts | 7mick7* | 4-3-1 | .571 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
4 pts | Vikings17* | 3-4-1 | .429 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
3 pts | Driveline* | 3-5-0 | .375 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
3 pts | moemonie* | 2-6-0 | .250 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
2 pts | B.Nihilist* | 2-5-1 | .286 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
Statistics in BOLD denotes participant leads league in statistical category. | ||||||||||||||
*Asterisk next to participant's name denotes participant's Latinum has been received. Total projected jackpot: $560 (Current jackpot: $400). Projected split of jackpot: 1st place $420 (BC Champion); 2nd place $100 (Runner up to BC Champion), 3rd place $40 (Regular Season Champion) |
INDIVIDUAL PICKS (Week #4) (Note: Participants are listed in order in which they posted their picks. *Asterisk in WIP column denotes a 3-pt parlay attempt) |
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Participant | Best Bets | Parlay | Exact Scores | Propositional Picks | Results >>>>> | Total Pts | W-L-T | Week Won | Exact-Scores 5pt-- --2pt----1pt |
Propositional Pts | 3pt parlay | 6pt parlay | Perfecta | Goose Egg | Golden Goose-Egg | Wins in Parlay | ||
DawgPound | Det/GB-U45½-L Cle-2½-L |
KC-10-L Pitts-3-L Dall-7-W |
Det 23-21 Sea 27-24 |
N/A | >>>>> | 0 pts | 0-2-0 | GE | 1/3 | |||||||||
dbucc | Det-1½-W Mia/Buf-O53½-W |
Pitts-3-L Cin-3-L KC-10-L |
Det 24-20-W NYG 27-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 3 pts | 2-0-0 | 1pt | PP-1pt | 0/3 | ||||||||
TCU | Dall-6½-W SF-14-W |
TB+3-W Phil-9-L KC-10-L |
Det 24-20-W NYG 23-10 |
N/A | >>>>> | 3 pts | 2-0-0 | 1pt | PP-1pt | 1/3 | ||||||||
Theopholis | Balt+2½-W NO-3-L |
LAC-6-W NYJ+10-W Hou+3-W |
GB 22-20 NYG 24-22 |
N/A | >>>>> | 7 pts | 1-1-0 | 6pt | W-3/3 | |||||||||
Driveline | Cin-2½-L Phil-8½-L |
TB+3-W Buff-3-W Cle-3-L |
GB 23-20 Sea 17-13 |
N/A | >>>>> | 0 pts | 0-2-0 | GE | 2/3 | |||||||||
Vikings17 | Det/GB-O45½-W KC-9½-L |
NO-3-L Balt+3-W Was/Phi-O44-W |
Det 27-23 NYG 30-27 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 1-1-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
moemonie | Det/GB-U45½-L Atl+3-L |
Ind-2-L Phil-9-L Sea+2-W |
Det 23-20-W Sea 27-17 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 0-2-0 | 1pt | PP-1pt | 1/3 | ||||||||
B.Nihilist | Cle-2½-L KC-9½-L |
Buff-3-W Pitts-3-L LAR+2-W |
Det 24-21 Sea 27-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 0 pts | 0-2-0 | GE | 2/3 | |||||||||
HOF City Kid | Den-3½-L Cin-2½-L |
Cle-3-L Pitts-3-L Minn-4-W |
Det 27-20-W Sea 23-17 |
N/A | >>>>> | 1 pts | 0-2-0 | 1pt | PP-1pt | 1/3 | ||||||||
7mick7 | Buff-3-W Dall-6½-W |
Hou+3-W LAC-6-W Phil-9-L |
Det 23-17 NYG 22-20 |
N/A | >>>>> | 2 pts | 2-0-0 | 2/3 | ||||||||||
Blitzkrieg | Dall-6½-W Hou+3-W |
Cin-3-L Cle-3-L Ind-2-L |
Det 27-24 Sea 24-23-W |
N/A | >>>>> | 3 pts | 2-0-0 | 1pt | PP-1pt | 0/3 | ||||||||
jcvike28 | Cle-2½-L Pitts-3-L |
Buff-3-W LAR+2-W LAC-6-W |
xs Sea 24-20-W |
N/A | >>>>> | 7 pts | 0-2-0 | 1pt | PP-1pt | 6pt | W-3/3 | |||||||
catman23 | LAR+1½-W Cle-2½-L |
Pitts-3-L Cin-3-L Minn-4-W |
xs Sea 24-20-W |
N/A | >>>>> | 2 pts | 1-1-0 | 1pt | PP-1pt | 1/3 | ||||||||
DIRTYBIRDS | No Picks Posted |
FINALS | DET 34 GB 20 |
JAX 23 ATL 7 |
BUFF 48 MIA 20 |
MINN 21 CAR 3 |
DEN 34 CHI 31 |
BALT 28 CLE 3 |
HOU 30 PITTS 6 |
LAR 29 IND 23 |
TB 26 NO 9 |
PHIL 34 WASH 31 |
TENN 27 CIN 3 |
LAC 24 LV 17 |
DALL 38 NE 3 |
SF 35 ARI 16 |
KC 23 NYJ 20 |
SEA 24 NYG 3 |
PREVIOUS REVIEWS | Preseason Special | Wk #1 | Wk #2 | Wk #3 |